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US Domestic Policy
Education
Politics
Congress Opens Nomination Applications for U.S. Military Service Academies Including West Point, Naval, Air Force; Deadlines Vary Through October 2025
Authors
14
10 months ago
US Judiciary
US Domestic Policy
Politics
Ninth Circuit Lets Trump End TPS for 60,000 Migrants
Authors
36
10 months ago
Poland
Sports
World
Thompson Runs 9.87 to Stun Lyles at Silesia Diamond League
Authors
3
10 months ago
Prediction markets for Thompson
Prediction markets for Thompson
Will the killer of Brian Thompson be found guilty of 1st degree murder by the end of 2026?
Dec 4, 8:41 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
66.79%
chance
23
3185
Option
Votes
NO
YES
142
71
Is the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, politically left leaning?
Dec 6, 4:49 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
7.5%
chance
25
1318
Option
Votes
YES
NO
351
28
Did the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, have an accomplice?
Dec 6, 4:46 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
1.6%
chance
10
875
Option
Votes
YES
NO
784
13
Will the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, have voted for Trump in the last election?
Dec 6, 8:15 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
15.84%
chance
34
716
Option
Votes
YES
NO
230
43
Was the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, married at any point within the year prior to the event?
Dec 6, 4:48 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
1.63%
chance
10
693
Option
Votes
YES
NO
776
13
Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty for the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson
Feb 5, 5:53 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
4.83%
chance
16
549
Option
Votes
YES
NO
454
33
Will the killer of Brian Thompson be found to have at least one accomplice that is also found guilty of a related crime?
Dec 4, 8:42 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
3.98%
chance
12
525
Option
Votes
YES
NO
491
20
Was the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, diagnosed with any mental illnesses prior to the shooting?
Dec 7, 5:31 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
12.62%
chance
14
335
Option
Votes
YES
NO
263
38
Will the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, claim to have lost a friend due to denied claim or similar?
Dec 6, 4:47 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
14.67%
chance
11
279
Option
Votes
YES
NO
241
41
Will Democrats (2028 Election) pivot to pro-growth Abundance Policies (Ezra Klein + Derek Thompson) 🇺🇸🦾🤑🦅🏗️🏛️
Mar 6, 3:41 AM
Nov 30, 12:59 PM
47.29%
chance
9
169
Option
Votes
YES
NO
106
95
Will Ben Thompson create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Jan 9, 6:06 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
32.47%
chance
6
58
Option
Votes
YES
NO
182
127
Will Derek Thompson run for office by EOY 2030?
Apr 28, 7:37 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
30.49%
chance
2
51
Option
Votes
YES
NO
151
66
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