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Valentine News

    Prediction markets for Valentine

    What is Quroe's favorite animal?

    Dec 14, 11:53 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
    5423883

    OptionProbability

    Hippopotamus - Hippopotamus amphibius 🥈🥈🥈

    Polar Bear - Ursus maritimus

    Tiger - Panthera tigris

    Dolphin - Tursiops truncatus

    Elephant - Loxodonta africana

    Lion - Panthera leo

    Honey Badger - Mellivora capensis

    Hotwheels sisyphus spider - Hotwheels sisyphus

    Saltwater Crocodile - Crocodylus porosus

    Wolverine - Gulo gulo

    Cape Buffalo - Syncerus caffer caffer

    Yellow-Lipped Sea Krait - Laticauda colubrina

    Blue Whale - Balaenoptera musculus

    Wolf - Canis lupus

    Red Fox - Vulpes vulpes

    Platypus - Ornithorhynchus anatinus 🥉

    Haast's Eagle - Hieraaetus moorei

    Giant Nematode - Placentonema gigantissima

    Flightless Elephant Bird - Aepyornis maximus

    Prehistoric Elephant - Palaeoloxodon namadicus 🥉

    Pompeii Worm - Alvinella pompejana

    Sperm Whale - Physeter macrocephalus

    Great evening bat - Ia io

    Giant Pacific Octopus - Enteroctopus dofleini

    Triceratops - Triceratops horridus

    Sonoran Desert Sidewinder - Crotalus cerastes cercobombus

    Ice Worm - mesenchytraeus solifugus

    Sulfur Cave Molly - Poecilia sulphuraria

    Feral pigeon - Columba livia urbana

    Coyote - Canis latrans

    Great black-backed gull - Larus marinus

    Leopard seal - Hydrurga leptonyx

    Western lowland gorilla - Gorilla gorilla gorilla

    Eastern lowland gorilla - Gorilla beringei graueri

    Brownthroated three-toed sloth - Bradypus variegatus 🥉

    Chinese giant salamander - Andrias davidianus

    Bornean orangutan - Pongo pygmaeus

    Dog - Canis familiaris

    Cat - Felis catus

    Giant Panda - Ailuropoda melanoleuca

    Penguin - Aptenodytes forsteri

    Axolotl - Ambystoma mexicanum

    Sea Otter - Enhydra lutris

    Great White Shark - Carcharodon carcharias

    Common Bed Bug - Cimex lectularius

    Cliff Swallow - Petrochelidon pyrrhonota

    Yi qi dinosaur - Yi qi

    Phallic frogworm - Atretochoana eiselti

    Colossal Whale - Perucetus colossus

    Panther Chameleon - Furcifer pardalis

    Giant Dragonfly - Meganeuropsis permiana

    Lesser Flamingo - Phoeniconaias minor

    Kiwi - Apteryx australis

    Brown Rat - Rattus norvegicus

    House Mouse - Mus musculus domesticus

    Red Volcano Sponge - Acarnus Erithacus

    Meerkat - Suricata suricatta

    Housefly - Musca domestica 🥉

    ❌Defeated: New World Screwworm - Cochliomyia hominivorax [beat by Hippopotamus]

    ❌Defeated: Orca - Orcinus orca [beat by Housefly]

    🚫Ineligible: Water bear - Milnesium tardigradum

    ❌Defeated: Ping-Pong Tree Sponge - Chondrocladia concrescens 🥉 [beat by Prehistoric Elephant]

    🚫Ineligible: human [I'm shortening this]

    🚫Ineligible: Tardigrade (LFG)

    🚫Ineligible: [This animal was edited in bad faith]

    ❌Defeated: Funny valentine spider - Funny valentine [beat by Dermophis donaldtrumpi Caecilian]

    ❌Defeated: Aha ha wasp - Aha ha [beat by Hippopotamus]

    ❌Defeated: Cuban Cockroach - Panchlora nivea [beat by Hippopotamus]

    ❌Defeated: Giant Pterosaur - Quetzalcoatlus northropi [beat by Ping-Pong Tree Sponge]

    ❌Defeated: Dermophis donaldtrumpi Caecilian - Dermophis donaldtrumpi 🥈[beat by Brownthroated three-toed sloth]

    🚫Ineligible: [edited in bad faith]

    ❌Defeated: Australopithecus - Australopithecus afarensis [beat by Platypus]

    Other

    5

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Will a major dating app use LLMs to simulate conversations by Valentine's Day 2026?

    Feb 14, 1:02 AMFeb 15, 7:59 AM
    9.41%chance
    4323209

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    30926

    3084

    Will x have partner ON Valentine’s Day?

    Nov 13, 10:54 PMFeb 13, 11:59 PM
    133897

    OptionProbability

    N/a

    Anna

    Vince

    Removed

    Requested removal

    Max p

    Dani 💖

    Colton

    Requested removal. Don’t bet

    Vincent

    Wizord

    Issac

    Henk

    Silas

    Sarah

    Nate

    Alex

    Nick

    Trevor -Vinces Roommate

    Banflam

    96

    94

    91

    86

    78

    30

    16

    12

    10

    9

    9

    9

    8

    8

    8

    7

    6

    6

    5

    4

    Will Artemis II launch before Valentine's day?

    Jan 8, 3:38 AMFeb 13, 11:59 PM
    0.82%chance
    273101

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2340

    21

    Grok adds terminate conversation button by 3/1/26?

    Aug 17, 1:02 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM
    24.21%chance
    482934

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1770

    566

    Will Twitter lose more than a billion dollars on labor law-related lawsuits from Musk's Twitter tenure, before 2026?

    Mar 9, 10:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    7.09%chance
    182331

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2543

    778

    Will Twitter lose more than 100 million dollars on labor law-related lawsuits from Musk's Twitter tenure, before 2026?

    Mar 9, 10:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    68.82%chance
    362019

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1357

    755

    Who wrote the disappearing Valentine from the Deltarune newsletter?

    Feb 14, 6:39 AMDec 31, 7:59 AM
    121559

    OptionProbability

    Egg Man / The Man behind the tree

    The voice at the start of the game

    Gaster

    The secret boss of Chapter 3

    Chapter 3 Main Antagonist

    Mike

    100

    13

    4

    0

    0

    0

    Which Performing Songwriters will be inducted into Songwriters Hall of Fame in 2026?

    Oct 23, 6:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    3607

    OptionProbability

    Taylor Swift

    David Byrne

    Kenny Loggins

    James Todd Smith p/k/a LL Cool J

    Richard Carpenter

    Alecia B. Moore p/k/a P!nk

    Charlotte Caffey, Kathy Valentine and Jane M. Wiedlin of The Go-Go’s

    Randy Bachman and Burton Cummings of The Guess Who

    Gene Simmons and Paul Stanley of KISS

    Sarah McLachlan

    Gerry Beckley and Dewey Bunnell of America

    Harry Wayne Casey

    Boz Scaggs

    56

    46

    39

    38

    36

    32

    31

    30

    29

    29

    26

    26

    25

    Will Jordan Love play in the Valentine's Day Super Bowl?

    Feb 12, 5:06 PMFeb 15, 4:59 AM
    12.3%chance
    5228

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    304

    103

    Will Spirit Airlines be bankrupt, acquired, or cease operations before the end of Valentine's Day?

    Dec 15, 5:52 AMFeb 14, 11:59 PM
    15.96%chance
    8175

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    229

    44

    Number of major sports teams that abandon Kiss Cam by Valentine's Day, 2026

    Dec 13, 3:19 AMFeb 15, 1:00 AM
    5104

    OptionProbability

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6-10

    11-20

    21+

    Other

    58

    31

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

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