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Top stories

Iowa Democrat J.D. Scholten Ends 2026 Senate Bid, Backs Josh Turek

Iowa Democrat J.D. Scholten Ends 2026 Senate Bid, Backs Josh Turek

Authors

5

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Wahls

Will the National Guard kill at least 10 protestors by end of 2026?

Apr 28, 7:33 PMJan 1, 8:29 PM

6.53%chance

4040519

OptionVotes

YES

NO

37857

2645

Will it become illegal to move >$50K/year out of the United States?

Apr 28, 7:34 PMJan 1, 8:33 PM

4.61%chance

2539518

OptionVotes

YES

NO

45511

2199

Will the US start conscription / a draft?

Apr 28, 9:25 PMFeb 1, 10:25 PM

11.9%chance

2530892

OptionVotes

YES

NO

27235

3680

Will there be nationwide price controls or rationing of consumer goods by 2027?

Apr 28, 9:28 PMJan 1, 10:27 PM

15%chance

3327344

OptionVotes

YES

NO

23805

4201

Will the U.S. Supreme Court hold Trump or a member of his Cabinet in contempt?

Apr 28, 7:36 PMFeb 28, 8:36 PM

8.23%chance

2626595

OptionVotes

YES

NO

33403

2994

Will much AI research be nationalized by 2027?

Apr 28, 9:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

16.19%chance

3618702

OptionVotes

YES

NO

22750

4396

Will Trump cheer on a violent attack on a public intellectual?

Apr 28, 7:37 PMFeb 2, 8:37 PM

20.3%chance

1214238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19816

5046

Will there be at least one major U.S. blackout caused by a cyberattack by 2027?

Apr 28, 9:40 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

19.31%chance

3213432

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20441

4892

Will a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?

Apr 28, 7:29 PMApr 29, 7:28 PM

38.43%chance

207725

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12657

7901

In 2026, who will Iowa elect to the U.S. Senate?

Jun 20, 4:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

155055

OptionProbability

Ashley Hinson

Josh Turek

Zach Wahls

Joni Ernst

Jim Carlin

Nathan Sage

J. D. Scholten

Other

Joshua Smith

64

21

10

1

1

1

1

1

0

2026 Democratic nominee for US Senate in Iowa?

Aug 19, 8:30 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

92652

OptionProbability

Josh Turek

Zach Wahls

Jackie Norris

Nathan Sage

Other

61

36

1

1

1

If Zach Wahls is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Feb 9, 6:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.14%chance

380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

69

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
US Elections
Politics
United States
Iowa Democrat J.D. Scholten Ends 2026 Senate Bid, Backs Josh Turek
Authors
5
7 months ago

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