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Walters News

    Prediction markets for Walters

    Who will win the Scott Alexander 2026 Book Review Contest?

    Jun 4, 5:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    2651688

    OptionProbability

    Breakdown in Pakistan: How Aid Is Eroding Institutions for Collective Action

    Orality and Literacy by Walter Ong

    The Escape Artist

    The Book of Abraham

    We Present Television

    The Tale of Genji

    The History And Adventures Of An Atom

    Lee Kuan Yew’s Memoirs

    Great And Desperate Cures

    Thomas Urquhart’s Translation Of Rabelais

    This Is Going To Hurt

    Storm Of Steel

    The Ghost In My Brain

    The Epic Of Gilgamesh

    A Residence Of 21 Years In The Sandwich Islands

    Thomas Urquhart's Translation of Rabelais

    Stabilizing an Unstable Economy

    The Last Temptation of Christ

    The Invention of Science: A New History of the Scientific Revolution

    The Rule of Law

    Timefulness

    The Life-Changing Magic of Tidying Up

    The Cambridge Introduction to Jacques Lacan

    The Knowledge Machine

    The Inhabited Island

    A Secular Age

    Pharmaceutical Freedom: Why Patients Have a Right to Self-Medicate

    Aesopian Language in Russian Literature

    Bellum Catilinae -- The Catiline Conspiracy

    Other

    Coriolanus

    Fear and Trembling

    1984 by George Orwell

    Mother of Learning

    "Mistletoe and Memorandums" by Claude

    The Northern Caves

    planecrash – E.S. Yudwkosky

    World War Z

    The Sovereign Child

    Siddhartha (1922) by Herman Hesse

    The Lever of Riches

    Dictator Book Club: Yoweri Museveni’s Sowing The Mustard Seed

    The End of History and the Last Man

    The Affluent Society by John Kenneth Galbraith

    The Bible

    Invisible Cities / Life: A User's Manual

    We've Had a Hundred Years of Psychotherapy and the World's Getting Worse

    Capitalist Realism

    Leviathan

    How to Prevent Coups d’État

    The Short, Swift Time of Gods on Earth

    Scenebux: A Novel

    More Money Than God: Hedge Funds and the Making of a New Elite, by Sebastian Mallaby

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    Will Zvi Mowshowitz 'like' each of these movies?

    Aug 25, 3:08 AMDec 31, 6:53 PM
    2712989

    OptionProbability

    The Man Who Killed Don Quioxte

    Brazil

    The Secret Life of Walter Mitty

    Mr. Nobody

    Welcome to the N-H-K

    The Assessment

    Revlover

    The Congress (2013)

    Lurker

    Code 3

    Masthishka Maranam

    The Artist

    The French Dispatch

    The Fountain

    The Square

    Cosmopolis

    Swiss Army Man

    Cloud Atlas

    Southland Tales

    Fitzcarraldo

    The Grand Budapest Hotel

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    Who will appear in "Avengers: Secret Wars"?

    Mar 25, 10:17 AMMay 7, 11:59 AM
    734839

    OptionProbability

    Robert Downey, Jr. (Victor von Doom / Doctor Doom, Tony Stark / Iron Man)

    Tom Holland (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)

    Anthony Mackie (Sam Wilson / Captain America)

    Pedro Pascal (Reed Richards / Mister Fantastic)

    Benedict Cumberbatch (Dr. Stephen Strange)

    Ebon Moss-Bachrach (Ben Grimm / The Thing)

    Florence Pugh (Yelena Belova / Black Widow)

    Joseph Quinn (Johnny Storm / Human Torch)

    Sebastian Stan (Bucky Barnes / Winter Soldier / White Wolf)

    Simu Liu (Shang-Chi)

    Vanessa Kirby (Sue Storm / Invisible Woman)

    Paul Rudd (Scott Lang / Ant-Man)

    Chris Evans (Steve Rogers / Captain America)

    Hannah John-Kamen (Ava Starr / Ghost)

    Julia Louis-Dreyfus (Valentina Allegra de Fontaine)

    Tenoch Huerta Mejía (Namor)

    David Harbour (Alexei Shostakov / Red Guardian)

    Danny Ramirez (Joaquin Torres / Falcon)

    Chris Hemsworth (Thor)

    Iman Vellani (Kamala Khan / Ms. Marvel)

    Mark Ruffalo (Bruce Banner / Hulk)

    Samuel L. Jackson (Nick Fury)

    Dominique Thorne (Riri Williams / Ironheart)

    Benedict Wong (Wong)

    Chris Pratt (Peter Quill / Star-Lord)

    Vin Diesel (Groot)

    Ryan Reynolds (Wade Wilson / Deadpool)

    Hugh Jackman (James "Logan" Howlett / Wolverine)

    Jeremy Renner (Clint Barton / Hawkeye)

    Wyatt Russell (John Walker / U.S. Agent)

    Brie Larson (Carol Danvers / Captain Marvel)

    Letitia Wright (Shuri / Black Panther)

    Karen Gillan (Nebula)

    Tatiana Maslany (Jennifer Walters / She-Hulk)

    Hailee Steinfeld (Kate Bishop / Hawkeye)

    Teyonah Parris (Monica Rambeau)

    Xochitl Gomez (America Chavez)

    Hayley Atwell (Peggy Carter / Captain Carter)

    Pom Klementieff (Mantis)

    Kathryn Newton (Cassie Lang)

    Bradley Cooper (Rocket Raccoon)

    Will Poulter (Adam Warlock)

    Don Cheadle (James "Rhodey" Rhodes / War Machine)

    Charlie Cox (Matt Murdock / Daredevil)

    Tessa Thompson (Valkyrie)

    Winston Duke (M'Baku)

    Elizabeth Olsen (Wanda Maximoff / Scarlet Witch)

    Paul Bettany (Vision)

    Kathryn Hahn (Agatha Harkness)

    Danai Gurira (Okoye)

    Tom Hiddleston (Loki)

    Sean Gunn (Kraglin)

    Alaqua Cox (Maya Lopez / Echo)

    Lupita Nyong'o (Nakia)

    Evangeline Lilly (Hope van Dyne / Wasp)

    Seth Green (Howard the Duck)

    Joe Locke (Teen / Wiccan)

    Zoe Saldaña (Gamora)

    Dave Bautista (Drax)

    Gael García Bernal (Jack Russell / Werewolf by Night)

    Oscar Isaac (Marc Spector / Moon Knight, Steven Grant / Mr. Knight, Jake Lockley)

    Scarlett Johansson (Natasha Romanoff / Black Widow)

    Andrew Garfield (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)

    Gemma Chan (Sersi)

    Kumail Nanjiani (Kingo)

    Lia McHugh (Sprite)

    Brian Tyree Henry (Phastos)

    Lauren Ridloff (Makkari)

    Barry Keoghan (Druig)

    Yahya Abdul-Mateen II (Simon Williams / Wonder Man)

    Ralph Ineson (Galactus)

    Angelina Jolie (Thena)

    May Calamawy (Layla El-Faouly / Scarlet Scarab)

    Jeffrey Wright (The Watcher)

    Mahershala Ali (Blade)

    Tobey Maguire (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)

    Emilia Clarke (G'iah)

    Wil Deusner (Skaar)

    Kit Harington (Dane Whitman)

    Harrison Ford (Thaddeus "Thunderbolt" Ross)

    Brett Goldstein (Hercules)

    Harry Styles (Eros / Starfox)

    Patton Oswalt (Pip the Troll)

    Don Lee (Gilgamesh)

    Olga Kurylenko (Antonia Dreykov / Taskmaster)

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    Will Tesla merge with xAI by the end of 2027?

    Jun 13, 4:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    19.48%chance
    184227

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2052

    498

    Walter (Fresh from Fresh&Fit) Stock [Permanent]

    Jan 9, 9:34 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM
    12849

    OptionProbability

    NO

    YES

    276

    184

    Which of these people will be alive in the year we get ASI?

    Oct 2, 7:35 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM
    8549

    OptionProbability

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Benjamin Netanyahu

    Nick Bostrom

    Pope Leo XIV

    JD Vance

    Mick Jagger

    Keith Richards

    Paul McCartney

    Ringo Starr

    Robert Plant

    Jimmy Page

    John Paul Jones (musician)

    Brian May

    Roger Taylor (Queen drummer)

    John Deacon

    Bill Wyman

    Vladimir Putin

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    Walter Koenig

    Ray Kurzweil

    Paul R. Ehrlich

    Charles III

    Iggy Pop

    John Lydon

    14th Dalai Lama

    Naruhito

    Martin Richards (computer scientist)

    Ken Thompson

    Bjarne Stroustrup

    Curtis Yarvin

    Valentina Tereshkova

    George Takei

    Donald Trump

    Joe Biden

    William Shatner

    Noam Chomsky

    Chuck Norris

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    Will W. Craig Jelinek (CEO of Costco) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

    Apr 14, 11:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    6.03%chance
    9463

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    403

    124

    Which of the following lawsuits will prevail against OpenAI?

    Dec 8, 4:01 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    13348

    OptionProbability

    [Consumer Privacy] A.T. v. OpenAI LP (N.D. Cal. 2023)

    [Copyright] Authors Guild v. OpenAI Inc. (S.D.N.Y. 2023)

    [Copyright] Sancton v. OpenAI Inc. (S.D.N.Y. 2023)

    [Copyright] Chabon v. OpenAI, Inc. (N.D. Cal. 2023)

    [Copyright] Silverman v. OpenAI, Inc. (N.D. Cal. 2023)

    [Libel] Walters v. OpenAI, L.L.C. (Ga. Super. Ct. 2023)

    [Copyright] P.M. v. OpenAI LP (N.D. Cal. 2023)

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    Will Walter Isaacson write a biography about Sam Altman?

    Feb 29, 6:58 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    28.71%chance
    3156

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    217

    123

    Who will win the 2026 Senate election in Oklahoma?

    Mar 5, 7:04 PMNov 4, 12:00 AM
    1100

    OptionProbability

    Kevin Hern

    Ryan Walters

    Other

    Kevin Stitt

    Matt Pinnell

    Gentner Drummond

    Josh Brecheen

    Stephanie Bice

    Cindy Byrd

    TW Shannon

    GT Bynum

    Charles McCall

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    Ryan Walters runs for Governor by 2030?

    Sep 25, 1:16 PMNov 4, 2:13 PM
    29.39%chance
    255

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    155

    65

    Will Walter Duranty's Pulitzer Prize be revoked before 2040?

    Mar 12, 4:26 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
    49.26%chance
    240

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    140

    140