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Wang Huning News

    Prediction markets for Wang Huning

    Who will be guest on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast?

    Oct 26, 6:05 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM
    288890

    OptionProbability

    George Hotz

    Ilya Sutskever

    Gwern Branwen

    Ajeya Cotra

    Jared Kaplan

    Andrej Karpathy

    Michael Levin

    Amanda Askell

    Chris Olah

    Noam Brown

    Joscha Bach

    Tanner Greer

    Greg Brockman (gdb)

    Mira Murati

    Geoffrey Hinton

    Michael Pettis

    Matthew Klein

    Connor Leahy

    Zvi Mowshowitz

    Robert Caro

    Nora Belrose

    Helen Toner

    Wang Huning

    Spencer Greenberg

    Janus @repligate

    Barack Obama

    Bill Gates

    Elon Musk

    Donald Trump

    Kamala Harris

    100

    100

    100

    98

    95

    73

    73

    70

    70

    58

    51

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    43

    38

    36

    35

    32

    31

    30

    29

    28

    20

    13

    3

    Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?

    Feb 15, 12:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    325948

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Li Qiang (Premier, 2nd rank PSC member)

    Ding Xuexiang (Vice Premier, 6th rank PSC member)

    Chen Jining (Party Secretary of Shanghai)

    Zhang Youxia (Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission)

    Wang Yang (former Chairman of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference)

    [Nobody] (Xi Jinping does not have a successor as General Secretary)

    Cai Qi (5th rank PSC member, first-ranked of Secretariat)

    Li Xi (7th rank PSC member, Secretary of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection)

    Wang Yi (Foreign Minister)

    Wang Huning (tourist, political theorist, and 4th rank PSC member)

    Chen Min'er (Party Secretary of Tianjin)

    Yuan Jiajun (Party Secretary of Chongqing)

    Yin Li (Party Secretary of Beijing)

    Li Shulei (Head of Party Publicity)

    Zhao Leji (3rd rank PSC member, chairman of NPC Standing Committee)

    Chen Wenqing (Secretary of the Central Political and Legal Affairs Commission)

    29

    15

    12

    12

    10

    10

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    Who will be the next paramount leader of China?

    Mar 2, 5:54 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
    13234

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Wang Yang

    Ding Xuexiang

    Li Qiang

    Cai Qi

    Wang Huning

    Wang Yi

    No one

    Xi Jinping

    Chen Jining

    Huang Kunming

    Li Xi

    Hu Chunhua

    Chen Min'er

    40

    18

    11

    6

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    Will any member of the Politburo Standing Committee of the CCP be removed from their position before Autumn 2027?

    Nov 2, 12:26 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM
    57.86%chance
    499

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    95

    85

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