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Top stories

MTV Unveils First 2025 VMA Line-Up Led by Sabrina Carpenter

MTV Unveils First 2025 VMA Line-Up Led by Sabrina Carpenter

Authors

3

9 months ago

Putin Gifts New Russian Ural Motorcycle to Alaska Resident Mark Warren After Soviet-Era Bike Repair Issues at Trump Anchorage Summit

US Foreign Policy

Putin Gifts New Russian Ural Motorcycle to Alaska Resident Mark Warren After Soviet-Era Bike Repair Issues at Trump Anchorage Summit

Authors

10

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Warren

When will Warren Buffett stop being Berkshire Hathaway's chief executive officer?

Aug 31, 2:20 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

2411396

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2023

2024

Other

98

1

0

0

0

Will Warren Buffet live to 100?

Oct 24, 2:27 PMAug 31, 6:59 AM

28.52%chance

302800

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1586

633

Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?

Jul 2, 9:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.79%chance

141630

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1809

1260

Will Berkshire Hathaway stock rise on the news of Warren Buffet’s death (go up on the next /current trading day)

Jan 15, 1:27 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

21.81%chance

251285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1230

913

Will Warren Buffet become a centenarian?

Nov 18, 2:28 AMSep 2, 3:59 AM

22.81%chance

81127

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1839

544

Will Warren Buffett be alive through the end of 2035?

Jan 23, 1:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.18%chance

13915

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1865

840

Will Warren Buffett be alive through the end of 2040?

Jan 23, 1:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.05%chance

14739

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1520

918

Will Warren Buffett die within 1 year of formally retiring?

May 3, 7:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.99%chance

20508

OptionVotes

YES

NO

259

39

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

55

53

51

50

28

If elected, will Graham Platner vote more like John Fetterman or Elizabeth Warren?

Mar 19, 9:08 PMJan 1, 9:57 PM

7323

OptionProbability

Elizabeth Warren

John Fetterman

83

17

Will Warren Buffett (CEO of Berkshire Hathaway) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Mar 15, 1:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.05%chance

3260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

370

68

Will Morris Chang live longer than Warren Buffett?

Nov 10, 8:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

60.15%chance

212

OptionVotes

NO

YES

82

60

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