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Top stories

'The Conjuring: Last Rites' Trailer Drops Ahead of Sept. 5 Release

'The Conjuring: Last Rites' Trailer Drops Ahead of Sept. 5 Release

Authors

4

3 days ago

Prediction markets for Warrens

Will Warren Buffet be alive past 2025?

Aug 7, 3:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.32%chance

5110726

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1402

851

Will Elizabeth Warren ever be elected President?

Jan 13, 8:21 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

2.84%chance

172022

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2622

886

Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?

Jul 2, 9:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.93%chance

131580

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1759

1287

Will Berkshire Hathaway stock rise on the news of Warren Buffet’s death (go up on the next /current trading day)

Jan 15, 1:27 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

21.81%chance

251285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1230

913

Will Warren Buffet become a centenarian?

Nov 18, 2:28 AMSep 2, 3:59 AM

22.81%chance

81127

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1839

544

Will BRKA hits $1,000,000 before Warren Buffett dies?

Feb 16, 9:59 PMFeb 24, 6:29 PM

37.47%chance

10942

OptionVotes

NO

YES

152

129

Will Warren Buffett be alive through the end of 2035?

Jan 23, 1:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.66%chance

12862

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1790

848

Will Warren Buffett either retire from Berkshire Hathaway or pass away before the end of 2025?

Nov 9, 11:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

91.07%chance

8659

OptionVotes

NO

YES

319

31

Will Warren Buffett be alive through the end of 2040?

Jan 23, 1:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.19%chance

13632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1496

920

How much will Berkshire Hathaway stock change from the day before Warren Buffett dies to the day after he dies?

Apr 2, 12:54 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

12507

OptionProbability

-5% to -0.01%

0% to +4.99%

-10% to -4.99%

-15% to -9.99%

+5% to +9.99%

-15.01% or more

+10% or more

45

26

15

5

4

3

2

Will Warren Buffett be alive through the end of 2025?

Jan 23, 1:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.46%chance

13435

OptionVotes

NO

YES

253

103

Will Warren Buffett (CEO of Berkshire Hathaway) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Mar 15, 1:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.05%chance

3260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

370

68

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