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Prediction markets for Wei
OptionProbability
74
25
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
CEO Tontine - which three of these twenty CEOs will survive longest?
Nov 19, 4:36 PMNov 27, 7:59 AM
5826767
OptionProbability
67
26
25
21
20
20
20
18
18
17
17
15
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
31
24
14
9
4
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
Which chess players will qualify and participate in the 2028 FIDE Candidates tournament?
Apr 2, 4:00 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM
114761
OptionProbability
70
69
47
40
35
34
33
33
30
29
26
26
25
24
22
21
21
20
20
20
20
18
17
15
14
14
13
8
OptionProbability
88
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
Chess Players Stock Market (Pick your favorite professional players)
Jan 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
13669
OptionProbability
22
13
12
11
6
5
5
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Will C.C. Wei (CEO of TSMC) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Mar 19, 2:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.4%chance
5166
OptionVotes
296
88
OptionVotes
149
67
Will Wei Dai get more than 2 months of GPT5Pro in 2026?
Aug 9, 12:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.21%chance
245
OptionVotes
145
69
Will there be a tomb excavation of one of the tombs of the 5 great generals of Wei by 2035?
Jan 28, 2:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
37.1%chance
240
OptionVotes
99
81
OptionProbability
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
[Ṁ$1000 bounty per] How many errors will be found in "We Didn't Write the Weights" (199 AI-history entries) before 2027?
Oct 13, 12:23 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
00
OptionProbability
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
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