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Prediction markets for Whale
OptionVotes
1028
853
OptionVotes
4037
654
Will an op-ed “translated from” an animal (e.g. a Whale) be published in any major American newspaper by 2026?
Oct 31, 6:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
3.99%chance
202235
OptionVotes
2533
873
Will AI (or humans) decode and translate whale communication patterns to where humans can understand complex inter-whale discussions by the end of 2034?
Jan 18, 5:00 AMDec 31, 1:29 PM
81.56%chance
261632
OptionVotes
1517
827
Will humans be able to have a basic conversation with whales before 2027 using LLMs?
Oct 10, 2:56 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM
27.55%chance
23653
OptionVotes
1033
978
Will the North Atlantic right whale be considered functionally extinct before 2040?
Jun 12, 4:48 PMDec 12, 11:59 PM
75.49%chance
20452
OptionVotes
1041
800
Will the North Atlantic Right Whale (Eubalaena glacialis) become extinct in the current century?
Apr 22, 8:38 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
86.77%chance
5364
OptionVotes
802
402
Will the Humpback Whale (Megaptera novaeangliae) become extinct in the current century?
Apr 8, 7:56 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
18.04%chance
8303
OptionVotes
757
394
Will the Sperm Whale (Physeter macrocephalus) become extinct in the current century?
Feb 28, 8:03 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
14.56%chance
7291
OptionVotes
750
415
Will the Orca, a.k.a. Killer Whale (Orcinus orca) become extinct in the current century?
Mar 11, 1:21 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
13.45%chance
5276
OptionVotes
773
408
OptionVotes
109
92
Will a research study be done showing % microplastic composition of bowhead whale brain by EOY2029?
Sep 18, 3:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100