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Prediction markets for Wong
OptionProbability
27
15
12
7
6
6
4
3
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Which Party will win the Mt Albert electorate in the 2026 NZ General election?
Jul 20, 5:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
728800
OptionProbability
97
1
1
1
Who will be the Prime Minister of Australia at some point in their life?
Mar 27, 3:52 PMSep 9, 2:29 PM
388351
OptionProbability
50
42
40
32
28
27
26
25
20
20
20
20
20
18
18
17
16
16
15
15
15
14
14
14
14
14
13
11
11
11
11
11
10
10
10
10
9
8
7
6
5
5
5
OptionProbability
100
100
99
99
47
44
41
41
41
39
39
38
37
37
36
36
35
34
34
33
30
29
28
23
20
19
17
17
13
9
5
4
Who will host Saturday Night Live [SNL] for the first time in the 2020s? [Mega Market]
Apr 12, 4:33 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
91205
OptionProbability
100
100
100
57
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
41
41
41
41
41
41
41
39
29
24
OptionProbability
43
11
9
8
6
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
OptionProbability
44
28
11
6
5
3
3
OptionProbability
39
33
8
5
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
OptionVotes
185
54
OptionVotes
100
100