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Top stories

Billboard Names Max Martin Top 21st-Century Hot 100 Producer

Billboard Names Max Martin Top 21st-Century Hot 100 Producer

Authors

3

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Ye

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

May 5, 11:03 AMJan 2, 1:16 AM

7%chance

11317432934

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5174

2211

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Feb 4, 10:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.84%chance

8174171933

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3512

1821

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

Mar 11, 5:11 PMJan 2, 10:00 AM

7.89%chance

4811718067

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4979

1793

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.86%chance

328673400

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2756

2354

Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?

Apr 18, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

90.41%chance

198384813

OptionVotes

NO

YES

155442

22908

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

Feb 26, 6:16 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

11.35%chance

210282771

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4387

1304

Will Ye West (Kanye West) be charged of any felony crime before 2030?

Nov 16, 2:36 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

34.89%chance

251304

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1149

530

Ye Stock (Permanent)

Nov 20, 10:28 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

241186

OptionProbability

NO

YES

505

382

This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2030

Aug 10, 1:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49%chance

15424

OptionVotes

YES

NO

51

49

this market resolves yes if over 98%, no if under 2%, for 24 consecutive hours

Jun 8, 7:00 PMDec 30, 6:56 PM

48%chance

19272

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

Will LTPZ outperform SPY over the next 10 years?

Dec 3, 2:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.06%chance

3172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1150

870

when will yao ye beat me in codeforces rating? (part 3)

Nov 7, 7:03 AMJan 1, 5:31 AM

130

OptionProbability

after 2026

november 2026

december 2026

59

20

20

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