
Is the first rate cut the sweetest? Not always. @MichaelSantoli breaks down S&P 500 returns after the start of a Fed easing cycle. https://t.co/ibfE0fpa9X
Rate cuts don't have to precede a crisis or crash the stock market. Since 1970: 7/18 cut cycles did NOT end in recession. The S&P 500 average 12-month return? 11% (vs. 11/18 cut cycles that did end in recession, w/ an S&P 500 average 12-month return of 7%) https://t.co/GUKTM76Rir
Great data from @callieabost of @RitholtzWealth *18 Fed cutting cycles since 1970 *11 "desperation"/ $SPX rises 7% next 12months *8 celebratory/ $SPX rises 11% next 12 months @CNBCWEX https://t.co/XuswDxbRSq

Historical analysis of Federal Reserve rate cuts reveals mixed impacts on the S&P 500. Since 1970, there have been 18 rate-cutting cycles, with 11 of those not leading to a recession. In such cases, the S&P 500 averaged a 12-month return of 11%. Conversely, the 7 cycles that did lead to a recession saw an average return of only 7%. Market behavior following rate cuts has varied; in previous cycles during bullish markets, rate cuts have sometimes signaled economic trouble, leading to significant market declines, as seen in 2001 and 2007, when the S&P 500 fell by 51% and 58%, respectively. The analysis indicates that while rate cuts can be perceived as bullish, they may also indicate underlying economic issues, complicating their interpretation for investors.