Central Kerr County, Texas, experienced severe flash flooding after as much as 10 inches of heavy rain fell within a few hours overnight on July 4, 2025. The intense rainfall caused the Guadalupe River to rise more than 25 feet within an hour over the weekend, leading to widespread flooding in the region. In the days following, officials and meteorologists warned of a renewed flood threat across Central Texas, particularly in the Hill Country area. Forecasts indicated the possibility of an additional 1 to 3 inches of rain, with localized totals reaching 8 to 12 inches, driven by slow-moving thunderstorms and favorable atmospheric conditions. The Weather Prediction Center upgraded parts of Central Texas to a moderate risk level for excessive rainfall, emphasizing the potential for dangerous flooding. Residents in flood-prone areas were urged to remain vigilant as heavy showers and potentially catastrophic flooding were expected to continue into July 13 and beyond.
Potential catastrophic flooding will be possible tonight and tomorrow across Central Texas where the environment is very much favorable for slow moving heavy downpours. PWAT values over 2 inches with mixing ratios against low level moisture will create 2-3"+ rainfall rates. https://t.co/GOXEAaKZMq
Heavy showers are expected for parts of Texas Hill Country, reigniting flooding concerns after the deadly 4th of July flooding. https://t.co/DvG1JrZPRG
BREAKING | The latest flash flooding guidance is suggesting that up to 10 inches or more of rain could fall in some of the same spots that flooded Hill Country on July 4. https://t.co/bhdYdkIUfn