
The transition from December to March futures contracts for the E-mini S&P 500 (ES_F) is underway, with the March contract currently trading about 60 points higher than December. Market participants are observing typical volatility associated with this rollover period, which is expected to culminate in a rally during the upcoming triple witching week. The roll factor for the ES is noted at 70.25 points, with an estimated roll completion of 30% ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Analysts are preparing to shift to the March contract, with some indicating they will maintain their December positions through Tuesday before making the switch.
#ES_F (front month) will now be the March 2025 contract for equity indices. You can calculate the theoretical fair value between the cash and futures: https://t.co/3ZQ5L58Nj4 Or stay lazy with me utilizing this great website: https://t.co/1LS7o01y3L https://t.co/sdoGpwXxpv
$ES | $SPX Weekly Plan | December 16-20 🟨 Daily: BALANCE 🟨 Weekly: BALANCE 🟩 Monthly: OTFU Starting Monday, I will transition to the ESH25 (March) contract. For reference, I do not back-adjust my charts. On the chart, I've marked the settlements from Friday's session for… https://t.co/H5SgiWz3nG
Roll factor on ES will be 70.25 points. Roll estimated at 30%. I'll stick with Dec contract thru Tue and switch to the March contract Tue night. Roll should be fairly complete ahead of FOMC. https://t.co/9FnVMAlryw


