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Top stories

Fed’s Waller Backs September 25-Point Cut, Signals More Easing Ahead

Fed’s Waller Backs September 25-Point Cut, Signals More Easing Ahead

Authors

36

8 months ago

Fed’s Logan Backs Further Balance-Sheet Run-Off as Williams Stresses Persistently Low Neutral Rate

Fed’s Logan Backs Further Balance-Sheet Run-Off as Williams Stresses Persistently Low Neutral Rate

Authors

11

8 months ago

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Lifts Q3 US Growth Estimate to 3.5%

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Lifts Q3 US Growth Estimate to 3.5%

Authors

14

8 months ago

US Gov Appointments

Senate Republicans Fast-Track Miran for Fed Board Before September Meeting

Authors

6

8 months ago

Fed’s Williams Says Slowing Growth May Allow Rate Cuts While Staying Restrictive

Authors

10

8 months ago

Powell Boosts Odds of September Fed Cut; Markets Shift Focus to Data and Nvidia

Authors

68

8 months ago

Fed’s Williams Set to Speak in Mexico City as Rate-Cut Debate Intensifies

Authors

4

8 months ago

Federal Reserve 25bps Rate Cut Odds Surge to 87% for September 17 FOMC Meeting, Boosting Crypto Sentiment

Authors

15

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Federal Open Market Committee

Will the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?

Dec 14, 1:34 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

17.1%chance

4910232

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1668

803

WIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted?

Jan 12, 2:12 AMJan 12, 2:11 AM

3.26%chance

493401

OptionVotes

YES

NO

545

18

Will the Federal Open Market Committee announce a decrease in the federal funds rate at the June 17, 2026, meeting?

Apr 19, 6:04 PMJun 18, 12:00 AM

12.53%chance

71739

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2642

378

When will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Feb 2, 9:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

121436

OptionProbability

Before August 1, 2026

Before July 1, 2026

Before June 1, 2026

Before March 1, 2026

Before April 1, 2026

Before May 1, 2026

92

90

89

0

0

0

What will the Fed rate be end of FY2026

Jul 22, 11:47 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM

6840

OptionProbability

3 - 4.99%

1 - 2.99%

5 - 6.99%

Below 0%

0 - 0.99%

7 - 8.99%

9 - 10%

Above 10%

85

6

3

1

1

1

1

1

WIll Jerome Powell Be found guilty if indicted?

Jan 12, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.8%chance

13460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

273

37

Latest stories

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Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Breaking
Economics
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Atlanta Fed GDPNow Lifts Q3 US Growth Estimate to 3.5%
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14
8 months ago
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Fed’s Waller Backs September 25-Point Cut, Signals More Easing Ahead
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Fed’s Logan Backs Further Balance-Sheet Run-Off as Williams Stresses Persistently Low Neutral Rate
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Fed’s Williams Set to Speak in Mexico City as Rate-Cut Debate Intensifies
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Fed’s Bowman Holds Rate View, Awaits Feedback on Leverage Rule
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7
9 months ago

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