BofA: With the S&P 500 up ~50% over the last two years, history suggests more modest index gains going forward. Returns were most frequently in the 0-10% range following periods where the index was up 40-50% over a two-year period @dailychartbook https://t.co/THr6qmsR2K https://t.co/cO0yYmoRvO
Historically, stocks do pretty well during Thanksgiving week. Let’s look at what we might see in the coming days https://t.co/QLfgQB7tWL
Thanksgiving week underway and as warned in Friday's newsletter, its seasonally strong, green 70% of years since 1950. This strength is weighted towards the back half of the week, with Wed-Fri green 83% since 1950 Big tailwinds ahead for #ES_F, but as always, trade the price https://t.co/hkRANkU39h

The S&P 500 is entering a historically strong seasonal period, with data showing that the index has risen 80% of the time from the Tuesday before Thanksgiving to the second trading day of the New Year, averaging a 2.6% gain since 1950. Thanksgiving week is typically bullish, with Wednesday through Friday showing strength 83% of the time since 1950. Analysts, including those from Bank of America (BofA), predict a post-Thanksgiving dip followed by a year-end rally. The index is currently up 25.5% year-to-date, with some expecting further gains and potential new all-time highs by year-end. Additionally, small-cap stocks are noted for their historical outperformance during this period, even surpassing the Santa Claus rally. Despite the optimistic outlook, long-term projections suggest more modest returns for the S&P 500, with annual gains of 0-1% over the next decade and 0-10% in the near term after a 50% rise over the past two years.





