The US stock market has shown resilience and outperformance compared to global markets in 2025, moving into positive territory year-to-date despite a large performance disparity. Over recent weeks, the S&P 500 index has consistently outperformed models based on global risk sentiment signals, with cumulative outperformance ranging from 1.88% to 4.25% over 20-day periods. SentimenTrader's Risk-On/Off Indicator, which aggregates 21 sentiment and breadth measures, has risen steadily since hitting a low of 4.76% on April 8, aligning with the bottom in major stock indexes and signaling a broad market recovery. As of early June, cross-asset models forecast modest gains for the S&P 500, with global equities providing the most bullish signals and rates the least. Futures for the S&P 500 were reported up by 0.42% and 25 points ahead of the New York market open on June 6.