The Daily Fix – The USD is down but NFP offers risks for shorts While the collective in the market remain highly cognisant that headline risk is still very much present, we see further evidence of tariff fatigue, with market players re-positioning and adding risk to portfolio…
#EURUSD We saw a strong rally in the Euro as the U.S. rates dropped significantly. However, today's gain has been reversed (weakness). A break below 1.0399 should lead to 1.0388, 79, 66, and 51. Resistance levels are 1.0417, 33, 43, and 68. #Marketprofile #Volumeprofile #Forex… https://t.co/uVlShpvNIK
⚠️ So many EURUSD parity calls. Fair enough - I'd rather be a EUR bear than a bull, but: long USD positions are massively overcrowded, while there's no love for the EUR. Usually a sign of major moves to come.
The Eurozone's industrial capacity utilization is reportedly at recessionary levels, prompting speculation that the European Central Bank (ECB) may need to implement further monetary easing. Analysts suggest that the ECB is likely to cut rates more aggressively than the U.S. Federal Reserve, particularly in light of potential new tariffs that the U.S. may impose on the European Union this year. While there are concerns regarding the Euro's outlook, with many investors holding long positions in the U.S. dollar, some market participants believe that the current positioning could lead to significant market movements. Recent trading activity indicated a reversal in the Euro's gains against the dollar, with key support levels identified at 1.0399 and resistance at 1.0417. The market remains attentive to upcoming economic indicators, including non-farm payroll (NFP) data, which could impact trading strategies.