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Top stories

ECB Survey Finds Euro-Zone Consumers Still Expect 2.6% Inflation Next Year

ECB Survey Finds Euro-Zone Consumers Still Expect 2.6% Inflation Next Year

Authors

12

3 months ago

French GDP Holds at 0.3% as Inflation Slips to 0.8%

French GDP Holds at 0.3% as Inflation Slips to 0.8%

Authors

10

3 months ago

German Inflation Tops Forecast at 2.2%, Retail Sales Slide

German Inflation Tops Forecast at 2.2%, Retail Sales Slide

Authors

10

3 months ago

France’s Lombard Sticks to 5.4% Deficit Goal, Downplays IMF Risk

Authors

16

3 months ago

ECB Minutes Expose Inflation Rift as Governing Council Holds Rates

Authors

10

3 months ago

Eurozone M3 Money Supply Rises 3.4%, Missing Forecast

Authors

5

3 months ago

French 30-Year Yield at 14-Year High as Bund Spread Reaches 80 bps

Authors

14

3 months ago

ECB's Lagarde Hails 4% Job Gain, Plays Down Tariff Risk

Authors

12

3 months ago

Prediction markets for European Central Bank

EUR/USD Rate end of 2025

Jul 27, 9:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9847

OptionProbability

1.1 - 1.19

1.0 - 1.09

1.2 - 1.29

0.9 - 0.99

Above 1.3

Below 0.8

0.8 - 0.89

60

17

12

4

4

1

1

Euro: Will there be a €1000 banknote before 2030?

Jan 15, 8:47 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7.68%chance

19753

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1691

892

Will the European Union introduce a digital euro as a central bank digital currency (CBDC) before the end of 2026?

Apr 5, 6:48 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

15.42%chance

18568

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1320

927

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

63.06%chance

8279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

103

Will the ECB (deposit facility) interest rate be negative before 2033?

Apr 14, 1:10 AMDec 3, 12:00 PM

16.88%chance

10261

OptionVotes

YES

NO

334

106

Will the ECB adjust the 2% long run inflation target by 2028?

Jul 10, 8:38 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

15.04%chance

7151

OptionVotes

YES

NO

297

101

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