Blockchain-based prediction market Polymarket shows traders assigning a higher probability that Donald Trump will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election than Vice President Kamala Harris, even though the former president is barred from seeking a third term under the 22nd Amendment. As of 28 Aug., contracts linked to a Trump victory were trading above those tied to Harris, a pricing anomaly that underscores market skepticism about the current Democratic field and the speculative nature of unofficial political wagering platforms. Separately, contracts on possible Democratic nominees indicate interest in non-traditional figures, with entertainer and entrepreneur Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson drawing notable volume against established politicians such as Harris. While prediction markets are unscientific and thinly traded, they are increasingly monitored by analysts as an early gauge of political sentiment ahead of the 2028 campaign cycle.