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Top stories

Trump Invokes Rare Pocket Rescission to Cancel $4.9 Billion Foreign Aid

US Foreign Policy

US Domestic Policy

Trump Invokes Rare Pocket Rescission to Cancel $4.9 Billion Foreign Aid

Authors

33

8 months ago

Trump Fires CDC Director Monarez as Vaccine Policy Clash Spurs Exodus

US Gov Appointments

Trump Fires CDC Director Monarez as Vaccine Policy Clash Spurs Exodus

Authors

129

8 months ago

Trump Ends Biden-Extended Secret Service Protection for Kamala Harris

Executive Orders

Trump Ends Biden-Extended Secret Service Protection for Kamala Harris

Authors

63

8 months ago

US Domestic Policy

Minneapolis Church Shooting Kills Two Children, FBI Probes Anti-Catholic Hate Crime

Authors

122

8 months ago

US Gov Appointments

Iowa Republican Joni Ernst Will Not Seek Senate Re-election in 2026

Authors

5

8 months ago

US Domestic Policy

House Democrats Reintroduce MORE Act as Trump Mulls Cannabis Rescheduling

Authors

6

8 months ago

US Gov Appointments

Fed’s Lisa Cook Sues Trump, Challenging Attempted Firing and Fed Independence

Authors

115

8 months ago

US Domestic Policy

Homan Says Trump Administration Has Located 23,000 Missing Migrant Children

Authors

5

8 months ago

Prediction markets for Donald Trump

Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton?

Nov 14, 9:56 PMJan 1, 9:54 PM

1.48%chance

549914469

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8487

138

Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?

Nov 12, 7:10 PMJan 19, 9:59 PM

21.49%chance

907523247

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2238

750

Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?

Jul 26, 4:22 AMJun 26, 6:59 AM

13.79%chance

421231032

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5245

1021

Will Donald Trump be elected president of the US in the 2048 election?

Aug 5, 2:22 AMAug 12, 3:59 AM

2.08%chance

109118426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6863

146

Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?

Nov 6, 5:20 AMJan 21, 5:59 AM

69.98%chance

359118269

OptionVotes

NO

YES

16388

3795

Will both Donald Trump and Joe Biden be alive on January 20, 2029 (noon ET)?

Nov 16, 5:04 AMJan 21, 5:01 AM

61.29%chance

21439733

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2088

1962

Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)?

Jun 13, 5:31 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

15527497

OptionProbability

Completes full term

Dies of natural causes or illness

Does not complete term

Dies from assassination or external violence

Other

75

14

7

4

1

Will Donald Trump attempt to suspend, delay, or reschedule the 2028 elections?

Feb 11, 6:57 AMMar 13, 6:59 AM

25%chance

10624310

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1732

577

If Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?

Jul 11, 5:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.5%chance

7320876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4020

2129

Will Donald Trump be ranked as the worst US President by the end of his second term according to CSPAN's Survey?

Mar 10, 3:02 AMMar 31, 3:59 PM

48%chance

10319010

OptionVotes

YES

NO

240

142

Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term?

Nov 6, 6:44 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

69.68%chance

448451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1517

660

Will Donald Trump still be president in 2030?

Dec 31, 1:23 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

4.11%chance

232697

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1296

954

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