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Top stories

Trump Invokes Rare Pocket Rescission to Cancel $4.9 Billion Foreign Aid

US Foreign Policy

US Domestic Policy

Trump Invokes Rare Pocket Rescission to Cancel $4.9 Billion Foreign Aid

Authors

33

3 months ago

Trump Fires CDC Director Monarez as Vaccine Policy Clash Spurs Exodus

US Gov Appointments

Trump Fires CDC Director Monarez as Vaccine Policy Clash Spurs Exodus

Authors

129

3 months ago

Trump Ends Biden-Extended Secret Service Protection for Kamala Harris

Executive Orders

Trump Ends Biden-Extended Secret Service Protection for Kamala Harris

Authors

63

3 months ago

US Domestic Policy

Minneapolis Church Shooting Kills Two Children, FBI Probes Anti-Catholic Hate Crime

Authors

122

3 months ago

US Gov Appointments

Iowa Republican Joni Ernst Will Not Seek Senate Re-election in 2026

Authors

5

3 months ago

US Domestic Policy

House Democrats Reintroduce MORE Act as Trump Mulls Cannabis Rescheduling

Authors

6

3 months ago

US Gov Appointments

Fed’s Lisa Cook Sues Trump, Challenging Attempted Firing and Fed Independence

Authors

115

3 months ago

US Domestic Policy

Homan Says Trump Administration Has Located 23,000 Missing Migrant Children

Authors

5

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Donald Trump

Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?

Nov 12, 7:10 PMJan 19, 9:59 PM

22%chance

829421112

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2200

759

Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton?

Nov 14, 9:56 PMJan 1, 9:54 PM

2.41%chance

506418953

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6560

175

Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?

Jul 26, 4:22 AMJun 26, 6:59 AM

12.71%chance

403220077

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5523

979

Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?

Jan 22, 4:03 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

2.57%chance

58187127

OptionVotes

YES

NO

44937

7944

Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 1, 2026?

Jul 14, 11:07 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

98.17%chance

93149409

OptionVotes

NO

YES

87988

3002

Will Donald Trump be elected president of the US in the 2048 election?

Aug 5, 2:22 AMAug 12, 3:59 AM

2.12%chance

109118243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6792

147

Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?

Nov 6, 5:20 AMJan 21, 5:59 AM

54.47%chance

26970912

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12960

5849

Will both Donald Trump and Joe Biden be alive on January 20, 2029 (noon ET)?

Nov 16, 5:04 AMJan 21, 5:01 AM

37.18%chance

19932984

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2910

1157

Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)?

Jun 13, 5:31 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

13222861

OptionProbability

Completes full term

Dies of natural causes or illness

Dies from assassination or external violence

Does not complete term

Other

77

13

5

4

1

Will Donald Trump send out a stimulus check to the majority of american citizens during his second term?

Nov 22, 5:36 AMJan 30, 4:59 AM

32.81%chance

15416523

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1699

1324

Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term?

Nov 6, 6:44 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

54.47%chance

365119

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1094

914

Will Donald Trump still be president in 2030?

Dec 31, 1:23 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

3.83%chance

212689

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1388

950

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