The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has been closely monitoring two developing systems in the Atlantic Ocean, with particular focus on Invest 97L, which has rapidly increased in development probability. Initially assessed with a medium chance, the system's likelihood of becoming a named storm rose to 70% within 48 hours and eventually to 90%, leading to the formation of Tropical Storm Erin on August 11, 2025. Erin emerged in the eastern tropical Atlantic, just west of the Cabo Verde Islands, with maximum sustained winds of 45 mph. Forecast models indicate Erin is expected to intensify into the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, potentially reaching major hurricane status by the following weekend. The storm is projected to move west-northwest across the open tropical Atlantic, with no immediate threat to the U.S. East Coast, though areas such as the Caribbean, Bermuda, and the Bahamas are advised to monitor its progress closely. Meteorologists highlight that while the storm's path still shows variability, the warm waters and low wind shear conditions may support significant strengthening. The NHC continues to track the second Atlantic system, which currently holds a 40% chance of cyclone development near the west coast of Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands. Overall, forecasters emphasize the increasing activity in the Atlantic basin as the hurricane season progresses.
BREAKING UPDATE: Tropical Storm Erin formed in the Atlantic Monday morning, and it’s one that forecasters say bears watching — especially for the Caribbean and Florida. https://t.co/nZgTDtbfS8
Tropical Storm Erin forms off Cabo Verde Islands. It's expected to strengthen into the first hurricane of the Atlantic season later this week https://t.co/sgOpPiHtwb
Tropical Storm Erin forms in the Atlantic. It’s worth watching https://t.co/pn1RJoF9kK