Yields on major sovereign bonds jumped on Thursday, with the US 30-year Treasury climbing above 5% for the first time since 2007 and the two-year note touching 3.934% after stronger-than-expected economic data. The benchmark 10-year yield edged up to 4.469%. Investors cited the prospect of additional fiscal stimulus and tax cuts in Washington for adding to concerns over the supply of new debt. The sell-off spread to the UK market. Two-year gilt yields advanced to 3.912%, their highest level this month, after mixed labour-market figures, while five-year yields reached 4.093%, a peak not seen since mid-June. Thirty-year gilts breached 5.5%, the highest since 1998, highlighting the sharp rise in the governmentโs long-term borrowing costs. Despite the move higher in yields, fresh Treasury Department data showed overseas demand for US securities remained solid in May. Foreign holdings of Treasuries increased by $32.4 billion to $9.05 trillion, the second-largest total on record. Net long-term capital inflows rebounded to $259.4 billion, with total net inflows at $311.1 billion, led by a jump in Canadian purchases.
โ ๏ธThe US yield curve has now been positive for 11 MONTHS: The difference between 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields has sharply risen over the last 2 years In the past, once the yield curve turned sharply positive, the US economy was in a recession.๐ https://t.co/RUrW5mJglQ
Oh Canada. Massive increase in Canada's Treasury holdings (from $368b in April to $430b in May -- but then again holdings in March were $426). Probably much more noise than signal. Nothing much happened with the Treasury holdings otherwise 1/ https://t.co/PYp1bE5Trs
US Treasury TIC Data: Major Foreign Holders $B Canada with the biggest pickup in holdings in May. Overall higher as well. https://t.co/h9wt5jxcR4