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Top stories

Federal NDP Launches Six-Month Leadership Race With $100K Entry Fee, New Leader Chosen March 2026

Federal NDP Launches Six-Month Leadership Race With $100K Entry Fee, New Leader Chosen March 2026

Authors

12

23 days ago

Prediction markets for New Democratic Party

What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?

Nov 15, 10:37 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM

307693

OptionProbability

Democratic House, Republican Senate

Democratic House and Senate

Republican House and Senate

Republican House, Democratic Senate

Other

59

21

18

1

0

Dems lose California or New York by 2028?

Nov 9, 8:08 AMNov 7, 7:59 AM

4.09%chance

54176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4842

207

Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?

Aug 10, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

78.94%chance

73804

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

985

Will Andrew Yang be elected to any major US political office before 2030?

Dec 16, 6:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.97%chance

152709

OptionVotes

NO

YES

940

722

Eric Adams no longer identifies as a Democrat by December 31, 2025

Apr 12, 8:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67%chance

232093

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1425

702

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Jun 3, 9:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

41.23%chance

261358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1194

838

Who will succeed Jagmeet Singh as the next leader of Canada's New Democratic Party (NDP)?

Nov 3, 1:52 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

8720

OptionProbability

Valérie Plante

Avi Lewis

Leah Gazan

Heather McPherson

Nathan Cullen

Other

Don Davies

Jenny Kwan

Matthew Green

Charlie Angus

Alexandre Boulerice

Wab Kinew

Ruth Ellen Brosseau

Rachel Notley

Niki Ashton

Peter Julian

John Horgan

13

11

10

9

8

8

7

7

6

5

5

3

3

2

0

0

0

Who will become the 'lijsttrekker' of NSC for the 2025 Dutch elections?

Jun 17, 9:07 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

4626

OptionProbability

Eddy van Hijum

Diederik Boomsma

Other

97

2

1

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Jul 21, 11:15 AMNov 8, 12:14 PM

59.7%chance

12390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1217

822

Which Canadian Political Parties are preferable to be elected in 2025

Dec 21, 5:09 PMOct 2, 4:59 AM

495

OptionProbability

Conservative

Liberal Party

New Democratic Party

Bloc Quebecois

Green Party

People's Party

Free Party of Canada

Maverick Party

Other

37

19

7

6

6

6

6

6

6

Will Jagmeet Singh run for provincial office?

Apr 29, 1:17 PMDec 31, 2:16 PM

29.81%chance

585

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the NPP win any seats in the 2028 Legislative elections?

Jan 14, 4:29 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

38.69%chance

317

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

80

Latest stories

Latest stories

Jul 10, 2025
Jul 10, 2025
Canada
Politics
World
Federal NDP Launches Six-Month Leadership Race With $100K Entry Fee, New Leader Chosen March 2026
Authors
12
23 days ago

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