Nvidia Corp. is experiencing increased volatility and downward pressure on its stock, with concerns arising from international trade restrictions, tariffs, and competition from Chinese companies. Notably, Chinese AI startup DeepSeek has released a large language model trained on less advanced chips, raising questions about Nvidia's future market share in China. Further challenges for Nvidia include a $5.5 billion first-quarter charge related to new export restrictions on its H2O graphics processing units, and the emergence of Huawei's Ascend 910D AI processor, which is being positioned as a potential rival to Nvidia's H100 chip. Huawei is reportedly preparing to test this new chip with Chinese tech companies. Barclays has reiterated its Overweight rating on Nvidia, citing generative AI momentum from NVDA GB200 deployment. Market analysts are also closely watching the impact of capital expenditure decisions by major tech firms such as Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta, as these companies' AI and data center investments significantly influence demand for Nvidia's products. Recent indications that Microsoft and Amazon Web Services may scale back data center spending have contributed to investor concerns about the sustainability of AI-related growth. Despite strong earnings and a dominant position in AI, Nvidia faces bearish momentum, with a liquidity snapshot showing a 4.3% increase to $111 and an IV rank of just 1.65%, indicating ultra-cheap options premiums. The stock's future performance may depend on how it navigates these global risks and competitive pressures. In related market activity, the S&P 500 (SPX) remains in a negative gamma environment, though later-dated expirations are starting to show positive gamma, which could lead to reduced intraday volatility.
Overall, the market remains in negative gamma, but notice how later-dated expirations are starting to turn green. Fresh positive gamma could mean intraday volatility begins to cool off. $SPX https://t.co/tNBSGbiSG8
Will Nvidia get hit hard by AI capex risk? https://t.co/Jn67H9cIhm
$NVDA stock has been under pressure lately. Restrictions and tariffs could stand to hurt their international business, and fears over the success of China's hardware-light LLM, DeepSeek, have investors worried. Could NVDA stock crash to $60 per share? In this video, we'll https://t.co/wUjkUf7u9U