DeepSeek News

DeepSeek Launches 685B-Parameter Hybrid V3.1 AI Model With 128K Token Context and Boosts Cambricon Stock

6 months ago

R2 / V4-Thinking (DeepSeek) release date

Jan 24, 9:48 PMMar 1, 9:14 AM

12737707

OptionProbability

Before 2026-04-01

Before 2026-03-01

Before 2026-02-15

Before February 2025

Before March 2025

Before April 2025

Before May 2025

Before June 2025

Before July 2025

Before August 2025

Before September 2025

Before October 2025

Before November 2025

Before December 2025

Before 2026

Before February 2026

Will DeepSeek's next reasoning model be called R3?

Feb 10, 8:33 AMSep 30, 11:59 AM

1%chance

3413171

OptionVotes

YES

9950

101

DeepSeek open-source frontier model after 3/23/26?

Mar 25, 1:21 PMMar 23, 11:59 PM

74.56%chance

369818

OptionVotes

YES

1712

584

Will DeepSeek R2 be open source?

Mar 8, 6:12 AMJun 1, 8:59 AM

94.47%chance

389151

OptionVotes

YES

4136

242

Will ANY DeepSeek model cause or materially enable a catastrophic risk by 2027?

Jan 21, 11:42 PMJan 29, 4:59 AM

7.49%chance

517972

OptionVotes

YES

5305

495

will deepseek-v4 destroy all other models?

Aug 21, 10:15 AMApr 5, 11:13 AM

15.91%chance

403335

OptionVotes

YES

2300

435

Will the first major multimodal DeepSeek release be video oriented and suited for robot control?

Jan 10, 6:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.19%chance

81051

OptionVotes

YES

2046

680

Will mHC be used in DeepSeek V4?

Jan 1, 1:10 PMMar 2, 1:10 PM

78.54%chance

71029

OptionVotes

YES

1914

523

Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026?

Aug 22, 9:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.03%chance

5603

OptionVotes

YES

1603

624

Will Deepseek V4 outperform OpenAI and Anthropic models at coding?

Jan 9, 10:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.52%chance

14422

OptionVotes

YES

233

Will we believe in 2050 that an instance of DeepSeek V3 run by 2025 possessed "consciousness"?

Nov 2, 11:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.54%chance

10274

OptionVotes

YES

175

Will DeepSeek's Manifold-Constrained Hyper-Connections (mHC) be used publically by another big lab in 2026?

Jan 6, 10:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

70.95%chance

7133

OptionVotes

YES

665

561

Latest stories

Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
China
Stocks
AI Modeling
DeepSeek Launches 685B-Parameter Hybrid V3.1 AI Model With 128K Token Context and Boosts Cambricon Stock
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6 months ago

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R2 / V4-Thinking (DeepSeek) release date

Will DeepSeek's next reasoning model be called R3?

DeepSeek open-source frontier model after 3/23/26?

Will DeepSeek R2 be open source?

Will ANY DeepSeek model cause or materially enable a catastrophic risk by 2027?

will deepseek-v4 destroy all other models?

Will the first major multimodal DeepSeek release be video oriented and suited for robot control?

Will mHC be used in DeepSeek V4?

Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026?

Will Deepseek V4 outperform OpenAI and Anthropic models at coding?

Will we believe in 2050 that an instance of DeepSeek V3 run by 2025 possessed "consciousness"?

Will DeepSeek's Manifold-Constrained Hyper-Connections (mHC) be used publically by another big lab in 2026?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram