
The options market is anticipating significant movements ahead of the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) release. The $SPX options are pricing in a 1% move for CPI day, while the $VIX is indicating a 1.2% swing. The implied volatility (IV) for the week remains high, with near-term IV at 22 and next week's IV at 20. Additionally, the $NDX options are pricing in a +/-1.4% move based on the at-the-money straddle, compared to an average CPI move of +/-1.08% over the last 12 observations. The highest implied $SPX move going into a CPI print this year is noted, with arguably the best comps for the dataset for the year so far. Market participants are also considering the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision next week and seasonal factors affecting volatility. Furthermore, the options market initially implied a 1.60% move for Friday, with consumer sentiment data also expected.
CPI Days ain't dead yet.. 1-day $VIX pricing in a 1.2% SPX swing tomorrow. https://t.co/e88GhwYwLE
Is the market showing momentum into CPI? @KGBULLANDBEAR checks in on today’s $SPX option flows, and identifies the levels he’s watching into the close and ahead of tomorrow’s inflation print with @OJRenick:
Highest implied $SPX move going into a CPI print this year with arguably the best comps for the dataset for the year so far. Vol crush tomorrow or warranted? Of course we have seasonal factors to consider for volatility. https://t.co/6zwT8XtKbM

