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Prediction markets for Antarctica
Will there be an active war over Antarctica before 2100 with at least 10 casualties?
Aug 6, 4:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
49%chance
483506
OptionVotes
1139
790
Will there be a permanent population in Antarctica before a semipermanent population on the moon?
Jan 23, 10:17 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
62.5%chance
362837
OptionVotes
1018
876
Will Antarctica be connected to high-speed fiber optic cable by the end of 2026?
Jun 12, 6:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
10.43%chance
222741
OptionVotes
2931
341
Will a previously unknown civilization be discovered in Antarctica by 2027?
Dec 16, 1:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
3.03%chance
212421
OptionVotes
2616
879
Will a city be built in Antarctica for permanent human residence by 2030?
Aug 8, 1:39 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
9.54%chance
332387
OptionVotes
1153
944
Will a city be built in Antarctica for permanent human residence by 2050?
Aug 9, 5:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
22.63%chance
412228
OptionVotes
1281
881
By 2050, will humans pump significant quantities of ocean water onto Antarctica to reduce sea levels?
Mar 24, 1:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10.48%chance
181134
OptionVotes
1849
831
OptionVotes
1031
969
Will the USA make a territorial claim in Antarctica, before 2030?
Sep 11, 6:41 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
19.94%chance
13488
OptionVotes
1305
898
How many people will have been born in Antarctica at the end of 2032?
Jun 28, 1:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5257
OptionProbability
50
18
11
9
7
5
Will Russia make a territorial claim in Antarctica, before 2030?
Sep 11, 6:18 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
22.81%chance
14212
OptionVotes
1103
952
Will activities banned by the Antarctica Treaty take place before 2030?
Sep 12, 9:15 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
46.93%chance
856
OptionVotes
153
147
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