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Prediction markets for Antarctica
Will Antarctica be connected to high-speed fiber optic cable by the end of 2025?
Jun 12, 6:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
7.2%chance
163124
OptionVotes
3589
279
Will there be an active war over Antarctica before 2100 with at least 10 casualties?
Aug 6, 4:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
38.07%chance
472970
OptionVotes
1033
953
Will there be a permanent population in Antarctica before a semipermanent population on the moon?
Jan 23, 10:17 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
62.5%chance
362837
OptionVotes
1018
876
Which of the Moon, Mars and Antarctica will be the first to reach a population of 100,000?
Apr 11, 3:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
182435
OptionProbability
46
38
23
Will a city be built in Antarctica for permanent human residence by 2030?
Aug 8, 1:39 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
9.89%chance
312336
OptionVotes
1113
948
Will a city be built in Antarctica for permanent human residence by 2050?
Aug 9, 5:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
22.63%chance
412228
OptionVotes
1281
881
Will Antarctica be connected to high-speed fiber optic cable by the end of 2026?
Jun 12, 6:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
23.58%chance
201372
OptionVotes
1800
555
Will a previously unknown civilization be discovered in Antarctica by 2027?
Dec 16, 1:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
5.33%chance
171278
OptionVotes
1525
924
By 2050, will humans pump significant quantities of ocean water onto Antarctica to reduce sea levels?
Mar 24, 1:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10.48%chance
181134
OptionVotes
1849
831
OptionVotes
1031
969
Will the USA make a territorial claim in Antarctica, before 2030?
Sep 11, 6:41 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
19.68%chance
12484
OptionVotes
1321
894
Will Russia make a territorial claim in Antarctica, before 2030?
Sep 11, 6:18 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
22.81%chance
14212
OptionVotes
1103
952
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