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Prediction markets for Aries
OptionProbability
95
93
89
79
60
21
10
OptionProbability
75
63
51
39
21
11
8
4
OptionVotes
1069
918
Who was the character that George R. R. Martin regrets killing (in the ASOIAF universe)?
Jan 9, 10:15 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
102832
OptionProbability
15
15
14
11
9
9
6
4
4
4
4
3
1
Will at least 12% of the population of Phoenix, Arizona die of extreme heat in the 2030s ?
May 30, 5:25 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
9.06%chance
192313
OptionVotes
3168
316
When Iran’s new Supreme Leader (Mojtaba Khamenei) dies or steps down, who will be the next next Supreme Leader?
Mar 9, 4:17 PMMar 9, 4:14 PM
121773
OptionProbability
41
18
11
10
9
7
4
1
OptionVotes
1856
832
OptionProbability
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
8
7
7
Will assisted suicide become legal in Arizona before 2035?
Aug 3, 3:37 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM
43.83%chance
5256
OptionVotes
1132
883
Will Dan Ariely be employed as a tenured professor at Duke University at the end of 2026?
Feb 21, 4:00 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
69.07%chance
8192
OptionVotes
149
67
OptionProbability
54
20
20
6
Will assisted suicide become legal in Arizona before 2045?
Aug 3, 3:38 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM
52.36%chance
150
OptionVotes
1048
954
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