Bern News

9 months ago

Switzerland

Tariffs

Economics

Swiss Post Halts U.S. Shipments as Bern Races to Cut 39% Tariff

9 months ago

WIll Dr Jonathan Sackner Bernstein (Parkinson's researcher) win a major medicine/biology award by mid 2036

Jun 23, 5:05 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

9.14%chance

421858

OptionVotes

YES

31528

3172

Will Bernie Sanders ever be elected President?

Jan 13, 8:22 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

1.18%chance

338463

OptionVotes

YES

6261

797

Will Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 4:35 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.29%chance

103100

OptionVotes

YES

3567

280

Will Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before 2030?

Dec 16, 6:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49.72%chance

492804

OptionVotes

YES

1241

575

Will Bernie Sanders live to see a human walk on the moon again?

Mar 24, 6:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.59%chance

461944

OptionVotes

YES

1117

837

Will Bernie Sanders withdraw his endorsement of Graham Platner (or will Platner drop out before he does so)?

Oct 22, 2:14 AMJul 1, 3:59 AM

1%chance

141111

OptionVotes

YES

995

Which Bernie Sanders endorsees will win their 2026 primaries?

May 1, 5:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4522

OptionProbability

Brian Poindexter (OH-07)

Graham Platner (ME)

Rebecca Cooke (WI-03)

Brad Lander (NY-10)

Adam Hamawy (NJ-12)

Peggy Flanagan (MN)

Claire Valdez (NY-07)

Bob Brooks (PA-07)

Randy Villegas (CA-22)

Abdul El-Sayed (MI)

Donovan McKinney (MI-13)

Sam Forstag (MT-01)

Troy Jackson (ME)

100

Will Egan Bernal win another Grand Tour in his career?

Jun 18, 6:40 PMJan 12, 10:59 PM

5.64%chance

6381

OptionVotes

YES

409

Will "On today's panel with Bernie Sanders" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Apr 30, 9:27 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

16.73%chance

7214

OptionVotes

YES

1030

834

Will Bernard Arnault (CEO of Louis Vuitton) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Mar 21, 2:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.13%chance

4112

OptionVotes

YES

202

Bernie Sanders V Jeremy Corbyn. Who’ll leave elected office first?

Feb 18, 12:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

317

OptionProbability

Bernie Sanders

Jeremy Corbyn

Will Henry Bass, Alex Zhu, cassox, Anjan Katta, Sam Bernstein, or Luca Rade get to meet jay gunkelman OR cayden pierce?

Sep 21, 6:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

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Prediction markets for Bern

WIll Dr Jonathan Sackner Bernstein (Parkinson's researcher) win a major medicine/biology award by mid 2036

Will Bernie Sanders ever be elected President?

Will Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before the end of 2026?

Will Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before 2030?

Will Bernie Sanders live to see a human walk on the moon again?

Will Bernie Sanders withdraw his endorsement of Graham Platner (or will Platner drop out before he does so)?

Which Bernie Sanders endorsees will win their 2026 primaries?

Will Egan Bernal win another Grand Tour in his career?

Will "On today's panel with Bernie Sanders" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Will Bernard Arnault (CEO of Louis Vuitton) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Bernie Sanders V Jeremy Corbyn. Who’ll leave elected office first?

Will Henry Bass, Alex Zhu, cassox, Anjan Katta, Sam Bernstein, or Luca Rade get to meet jay gunkelman OR cayden pierce?

Latest stories

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