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Prediction markets for California Democratic
OptionVotes
5013
199
OptionVotes
1583
632
OptionVotes
4842
207
Will a democrat win the CA 1st congressional district special election to replace Doug LaMalfa?
Jan 6, 5:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20.85%chance
53193
OptionVotes
1948
513
Will Gavin Newsom be strongly anti-AI before March 2, 2028?
Dec 29, 9:03 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM
27.02%chance
133109
OptionVotes
1644
608
Will the democratic party win the 2026 california gubernatorial election?
May 31, 4:49 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM
95.91%chance
183068
OptionVotes
519
75
OptionProbability
55
11
11
7
6
5
5
1
8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
67.37%chance
222338
OptionVotes
1439
697
Which California House Districts will Democrats win in the 2026 Midterms?
Jun 16, 4:50 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM
41740
OptionProbability
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
82
81
80
80
77
60
18
18
18
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 24th State Senate district
Jun 4, 4:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4540
OptionProbability
45
27
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
Chamath prediction: democrats lose one of California or New York by 2032?
Nov 9, 8:00 AMNov 1, 1:59 PM
34.03%chance
8490
OptionVotes
1392
718
What Margin will democrats win the Californias 22nd District House election by?
Jun 10, 9:01 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM
3174
OptionProbability
83
80
80
59
54
46
41
34
31
24
19
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