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Prediction markets for car
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
Oct 30, 4:19 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM
27.9%chance
155163363
OptionVotes
1541
679
Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
Sep 1, 11:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
46.26%chance
456133058
OptionVotes
3402
2716
Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?
Apr 21, 8:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
52%chance
326121196
OptionVotes
1004
972
Which car company will drive between New York to San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat first?
Sep 9, 12:44 PMSep 16, 10:59 PM
7757100
OptionProbability
80
15
5
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
31934
3136
Will Tesla become the top-selling car manufacturer in 2027?
Aug 19, 11:35 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM
6.19%chance
13843922
OptionVotes
5897
1271
OptionVotes
1138
780
Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?
Apr 4, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
78.88%chance
12723740
OptionVotes
3769
1429
Will we have flying cars commercially available by the year 2035?
Aug 25, 12:35 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
33.18%chance
6512468
OptionVotes
977
933
OptionVotes
1462
798
Will at least 20% of cars I see be self-driving by 2030?
Nov 2, 10:45 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
87.18%chance
536555
OptionVotes
2283
153
Will we be able to buy a €25k autonomous car that doesn't require driving license in mid 2029 in Italy?
Jun 2, 12:42 PMJun 2, 9:59 PM
9.69%chance
363661
OptionVotes
3053
328
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