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🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? [ADD RESPONSES]
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
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100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
97
95
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81
76
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65
61
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55
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54
50
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50
47
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9
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8
8
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7
7
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
3
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Pink Tide: Will leftists still govern a majority of Latin American countries at the end of 2026?
OptionVotes
1228
742
OptionProbability
36
25
19
15
15
13
11
11
10
10
10
9
7
Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?
OptionVotes
1071
830
Will the White-tailed Deer (Odocoileus virginianus) become extinct in the current century?
OptionVotes
1010
377
Will the Northern Raccoon, aka Common Raccoon (Procyon lotor) become extinct in the current century?
OptionVotes
815
397
Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2030?
OptionVotes
166
106
Will any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
OptionVotes
301
187
Will Trump visit any country in South or Central America besides Mexico during his term?
OptionVotes
153
65
Will Tommy Gregory Thompson give up the details of his 500 gold coins and be freed from jail by the end of 2028?
OptionVotes
131
76
Will the next Secretary General of the UN after Guterres be from South America, Central America or the Carribean?
OptionVotes
105
95
Will a commercial non-stop flight between Asia and South America exist before the end of 2030?
OptionVotes
55
45