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Prediction markets for Central
Will Javier Milei abolish the Argentinian central bank?
Nov 20, 12:30 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM
18.23%chance
15212207
OptionVotes
2247
96
Will the Central Bank of Argentina exist on January 1 2030?
Nov 21, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
80.96%chance
263171
OptionVotes
1510
793
Will the United States have an official central bank digital currency by the end of 2028?
Apr 5, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
9.81%chance
211609
OptionVotes
2081
787
Will Donald Trump face financial penalties from the Central Park Five defamation lawsuit by end of 2025?
Oct 21, 9:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
18.34%chance
121429
OptionVotes
2110
474
Will a retail CBDC (central bank digital currency) go live in the USA and become available for public use before 2031?
Sep 6, 1:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
31%chance
231222
OptionVotes
1529
621
Will Emmett Shear's new company make important and central contributions to AI alignment?
Mar 29, 8:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
26.27%chance
121122
OptionVotes
1675
597
Will the U.S. have a central bank digital currency by 2030?
Mar 23, 11:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
31%chance
11770
OptionVotes
1587
543
Will the United States have an official central bank digital currency by the end of 2033?
Apr 5, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
37.37%chance
20708
OptionVotes
1071
941
Will the European Union introduce a digital euro as a central bank digital currency (CBDC) before the end of 2026?
Apr 5, 6:48 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
15.42%chance
18568
OptionVotes
1320
927
Will the United States have an official central bank digital currency by the end of 2038?
Apr 5, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
47%chance
17311
OptionVotes
1089
904
Will the USG centralize frontier AI development in a single government project?
Nov 19, 2:42 PMDec 21, 4:59 AM
56.51%chance
4140
OptionVotes
1140
877
Will OpenAI announce AGI before 2028 conditional on it centrally being an LLM?
Sep 16, 11:34 PMAug 1, 10:59 PM
47.56%chance
150
OptionVotes
1050
952
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