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Top stories

DeSantis Names Ally Mike Caruso Palm Beach County Court Clerk

US Gov Appointments

DeSantis Names Ally Mike Caruso Palm Beach County Court Clerk

Authors

7

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Circuit Court

Will the Supreme Court rule on PredictIt vs. CFTC before 2026?

Nov 14, 2:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.94%chance

274184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2301

818

Will SCOTUS rule that gender identity is not a protected class before 2028?

Apr 30, 12:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72.2%chance

271752

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1411

781

Will the Supreme Court uphold the 5th Circuit ruling restricting mifepristone?

May 6, 4:09 PMJul 1, 11:59 PM

28.47%chance

10633

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1585

631

Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari to hear the the NJ prediction market case by the end of 2026?

Sep 2, 5:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.36%chance

6618

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1295

772

When will a US court first rule that an AI is legally a person?

Dec 27, 11:36 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

32.57%chance

17583

OptionProbability

NO

YES

982

964

Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor?

Sep 8, 6:27 PMDec 31, 7:22 PM

67%chance

3442

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1425

702

Will the Trump administration successfully overturn the Anthropic injunction on appeal by September 30, 2026?

Apr 2, 4:55 PMOct 1, 8:00 AM

5.05%chance

3346

OptionVotes

YES

NO

396

63

Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant cert or agree to hear arguments in the Texas DACA case by February 27, 2027? (2/27/27)

Aug 31, 2:39 PMFeb 26, 11:59 PM

12.03%chance

3284

OptionVotes

YES

NO

236

66

Will DACA be struck down by the US judicial system?

Sep 14, 4:17 PMDec 1, 7:59 AM

44.51%chance

13202

OptionVotes

NO

YES

214

202

Will Kalshi respond to New Jersey's Supreme Court petition by November 15, 2026?

Sep 2, 6:37 PMNov 16, 4:59 AM

86.09%chance

3177

OptionVotes

NO

YES

207

71

Is a Forced Reset Trigger (FRT) a machine gun?

Dec 21, 4:36 AMJan 2, 4:30 AM

41.43%chance

449

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

84

Circuit-level appeal of a dismissal of a microplastics case on the merits (preemption, causation, pleadings) byEOY2028?

Apr 24, 7:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.37%chance

216

OptionVotes

NO

YES

116

86

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
US Gov Appointments
Florida
Politics
DeSantis Names Ally Mike Caruso Palm Beach County Court Clerk
Authors
7
1 year ago

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