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Prediction markets for Circuit Court
Will the Supreme Court rule on PredictIt vs. CFTC before 2026?
Nov 14, 2:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
6.94%chance
274184
OptionVotes
2301
818
Will SCOTUS rule that gender identity is not a protected class before 2028?
Apr 30, 12:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
72.2%chance
271752
OptionVotes
1411
781
Will the Supreme Court uphold the 5th Circuit ruling restricting mifepristone?
May 6, 4:09 PMJul 1, 11:59 PM
28.47%chance
10633
OptionVotes
1585
631
Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari to hear the the NJ prediction market case by the end of 2026?
Sep 2, 5:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
37.36%chance
6618
OptionVotes
1295
772
When will a US court first rule that an AI is legally a person?
Dec 27, 11:36 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
32.57%chance
17583
OptionProbability
982
964
Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor?
Sep 8, 6:27 PMDec 31, 7:22 PM
67%chance
3442
OptionVotes
1425
702
Will the Trump administration successfully overturn the Anthropic injunction on appeal by September 30, 2026?
Apr 2, 4:55 PMOct 1, 8:00 AM
5.05%chance
3346
OptionVotes
396
63
Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant cert or agree to hear arguments in the Texas DACA case by February 27, 2027? (2/27/27)
Aug 31, 2:39 PMFeb 26, 11:59 PM
12.03%chance
3284
OptionVotes
236
66
OptionVotes
214
202
Will Kalshi respond to New Jersey's Supreme Court petition by November 15, 2026?
Sep 2, 6:37 PMNov 16, 4:59 AM
86.09%chance
3177
OptionVotes
207
71
OptionVotes
119
84
Circuit-level appeal of a dismissal of a microplastics case on the merits (preemption, causation, pleadings) byEOY2028?
Apr 24, 7:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
57.37%chance
216
OptionVotes
116
86
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