OptionProbability
IPO actually happens in 2026
At end of first day trading, valuation >10b
At end of first day trading, valuation >50b
Officially confirmed that their chips are used by OpenAI, Anthropic, or DeepSeek, with a value of at least 100m USD, by mid 2028
+2 years from IPO, valuation is >100b
+3 years from IPO, the CEO is still in place (from IPO time)
HQ moves farther than 50 miles from sunnyvale city hall
Any of their CEOs visits the White House, til mid 2027, media proof required*
Is purchased by another company by mid 2028
Cerebras sells a consumer product, <10k usd, in US by mid 2027
Out of business by mid 2027
Has over 1000 employees at IPO time.
IPO actually happens in 2025
The CEO Andrew Feldman has a wikipedia page active on the IPO day
IPO actually happens in 2027
100
56
50
48
32
31
26
11
2
1
Before 2028
Before 2027
Before 2025
Before 2026
9
6
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
2550
392
Kenneth Mejia (incumbent)
Other
Isadore Hall
95
4
1420
704
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