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Prediction markets for Crimea

Will there be fighting in Crimea as part of the current war between Russia and Ukraine?

Feb 14, 1:07 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

9.09%chance

12522372

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3076

229

Will Ukraine control any part of Crimea for at least a week before the end of 2025?

Jan 1, 8:12 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7%chance

4819466

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3645

274

By the end of the Ukraine war Crimea will be a part of Ukraine again?

Mar 1, 5:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.41%chance

7716976

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4764

480

Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2026?

Oct 30, 9:24 PMJan 6, 10:59 PM

4.48%chance

7416032

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3193

687

Will Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2026?

Feb 16, 4:58 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

6.62%chance

749585

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2107

42

Will Ukraine control any of Crimea before it takes back most of Luhansk or Donetsk?

Oct 8, 2:10 PMJan 1, 12:01 AM

56.41%chance

775214

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

1005

Will the Ukraine war end with Ukraine controlling nearly all Ukrainian territory INCLUDING Crimea?

Jan 7, 6:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4%chance

334751

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3470

741

Will Putin die before Russia pulls out of Crimea?

Jun 13, 9:43 PMMay 4, 5:59 PM

89.06%chance

393045

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1844

766

Will Israel recognize a state of Palestine before Russia recognizes Crimea as part of Ukraine?

May 12, 10:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75.56%chance

221165

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1070

959

Will Russia formally cede Crimea before 2030?

Jan 30, 1:28 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

16.48%chance

15998

OptionVotes

YES

NO

984

968

Will Russia officially recognize Crimea, Donetsk, or Luhansk as part of Ukraine before 2030?

Jun 17, 2:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

22.04%chance

16708

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1025

830

Will Putin remain in power if Crimea returns to Ukraine?

Oct 2, 8:21 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

26.15%chance

15479

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

930

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