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Top stories

Cuba's Miguel Diaz-Canel and Venezuela's Maduro Condemn U.S. Military Deployment as 25,000 Troops Deployed in Catatumbo

US Foreign Policy

Cuba's Miguel Diaz-Canel and Venezuela's Maduro Condemn U.S. Military Deployment as 25,000 Troops Deployed in Catatumbo

Authors

3

3 months ago

Pew Finds Record 14 M Unauthorized Migrants, First Overall U.S. Decline Since 1960s

US Domestic Policy

Pew Finds Record 14 M Unauthorized Migrants, First Overall U.S. Decline Since 1960s

Authors

32

4 months ago

Venezuela, Led by Nicolás Maduro, Appeals to UN and Guterres Over U.S. Nuclear-Capable Submarine Deployment in Caribbean; Cuba Supports

US Foreign Policy

Venezuela, Led by Nicolás Maduro, Appeals to UN and Guterres Over U.S. Nuclear-Capable Submarine Deployment in Caribbean; Cuba Supports

Authors

14

3 months ago

US Foreign Policy

U.S. Embassy in Harare Suspends Majority of Visa Services for Zimbabwe Over Government Issues and Forced Labor Concerns

Authors

7

4 months ago

US Foreign Policy

U.S. Undersecretary Landau Says Maduro 'Destroyed' Venezuela, Responds to PSUV's Cabello as Cuba Protests Rubio-Led U.S. Caribbean Military Deployment

Authors

6

4 months ago

ICE Sweep in Texas Nets 350 Gang Members, Scores of Repeat Offenders

Authors

10

4 months ago

Uruguay’s Chamber of Deputies Approves Muerte Digna Bill to Legalize Euthanasia with Frente Amplio Support, Senate Review Pending

Authors

14

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Cuba

Will Cuba still be a communist country on the following dates

Apr 2, 12:55 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

384000

OptionProbability

Jan 1, 2025

July 1, 2024

October 1, 2024

Jan 1, 2026

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2028

Jan 1, 2029

Jan 1, 2030

Jan 1, 2035

Jan 1, 2040

100

100

100

99

99

95

92

85

74

65

Will the next US president lift the embargo on Cuba?

Jan 15, 1:41 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

18.88%chance

261275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1525

813

Will Communism fall from power in Cuba by January 1, 2035?

Dec 5, 2:26 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

39.69%chance

14989

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1233

811

Conditional Election market - Will the next US president lift the embargo on Cuba?

Jan 15, 2:03 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

15621

OptionProbability

Conditional on the next US president being a Democrat, will they lift the embargo on Cuba?

Conditional on the next US president being a Republican, will they lift the embargo on Cuba?

34

17

When will US citizens be allowed to travel to Cuba for tourism?

Oct 19, 5:08 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9318

OptionProbability

Other

2026

2025

2024

2023

72

13

11

3

2

Bridge built crossing from the Yucatan to Cuba through 2050

Sep 21, 11:57 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5.84%chance

5254

OptionVotes

YES

NO

309

46

Sitting US president visits Cuban Government Leaders in Cuba before 2034

Feb 2, 6:06 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

41.84%chance

12244

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

993

Bridge built connecting any of Cuba, Jamaica, Haiti, DR, and PR to each other through 2040

Aug 28, 2:04 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

23%chance

4240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

134

88

Bridge built connecting Cuba and USA mainland through 2040

Aug 27, 5:25 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8%chance

6225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

302

110

Will the USA lift the embargo on Cuba by Jan 1st 2032?

Dec 6, 6:15 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

67.22%chance

13158

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1110

927

Will US citizens be allowed to travel to Cuba for tourism by the start of 2030?

Jan 24, 7:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.57%chance

7112

OptionVotes

NO

YES

211

147

USA lifts Cuba embargo before Trump leaves office?

Oct 5, 5:38 AMJan 19, 11:59 PM

27.22%chance

686

OptionVotes

YES

NO

164

61

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