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Top stories

Clashes Erupt in Deir ez-Zour Between Syrian Democratic Forces and Government Troops Despite March Integration Deal

Authors

5

4 days ago

Prediction markets for Dama

Will an AI related disaster kill a million people or cause $1T of damage before 2070?

Sep 2, 8:54 AMSep 9, 10:59 PM

44%chance

568669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1047

854

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Jul 25, 9:16 PMJul 25, 8:47 PM

10.77%chance

497373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2878

348

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Jan 8, 4:43 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

68.15%chance

366885

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1463

684

Will I confidently think in 2026 that taking 120mg MDMA once every two months is less damaging to health than drinking two beers every night for 8 days in a row once every two months?

Dec 23, 7:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

55.13%chance

562229

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1366

705

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Aug 22, 11:34 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

27.44%chance

162213

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NO

YES

1324

1240

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25.45%chance

281988

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1205

883

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Aug 22, 8:37 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9.96%chance

181459

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1926

1298

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26.64%chance

271321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1111

946

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Apr 13, 4:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14%chance

171016

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1232

919

The Five Proud Boys Leaders get one dollar or more compensatory or punitive damages.

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48.81%chance

4546

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1024

976

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11.51%chance

7452

OptionVotes

YES

NO

853

392

If SB 1047 is not passed and an AI tool causes $500mn of damages, will the respective AI lab pay over 10% in damages?

Sep 27, 10:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.64%chance

250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1048

954

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Syria
War
Politics
Clashes Erupt in Deir ez-Zour Between Syrian Democratic Forces and Government Troops Despite March Integration Deal
Authors
5
4 days ago

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