Darwin News

Outback Wrangler Host Matt Wright Convicted of Evidence Tampering in 2022 Crash

5 months ago

Will Australia-Asia Power Link deliver 900 megawatts of electricity to Darwin by 2030?

Aug 23, 9:59 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

19.92%chance

21005

OptionVotes

YES

2005

499

Will Aubrey Darwin Niederhoffer become a Thiel Fellow before 2028?

Oct 30, 8:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.53%chance

4704

OptionVotes

YES

1671

605

Will Sam Altman win a Darwin Award by EOY 2040?

Jan 1, 1:34 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.28%chance

8534

OptionVotes

YES

658

Australia vs Bangladesh Test Series Megamarket

Jan 3, 11:13 PMDec 31, 1:59 PM

3306

OptionProbability

Australia Win

Whitewash

Series is played in Aussie Winter

Darwin gets a Test

Series is cancelled

Series is postponed to 2027

Drawn Series

Will the "Save The Darwin Oak" petition succeed?

Nov 3, 9:41 AMDec 31, 10:00 PM

37.52%chance

10193

OptionVotes

YES

172

Will Guillaume Verdon/BasedBeffJezos win a Darwin award by EOY 2040?

Jan 1, 1:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.5%chance

6177

OptionVotes

YES

267

Will José Luis Ricón Fernández de la Puente win a Darwin Award by EOY 2040?

Jan 1, 1:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10%chance

5174

OptionVotes

YES

238

Which many-world-ish interpretation is right?

Aug 21, 11:58 PMAug 21, 11:32 PM

2140

OptionProbability

Everett’s original

Decoherence & decision-theoretic Many-Worlds (Wallace)

Envariance / Quantum Darwinism (Zurek)

Self-Locating Uncertainty Many-Worlds (Vaidman)

Decoherent Histories (Gell-Mann–Hartle)

Many-Minds (Albert–Loewer)

Self-Locating Uncertainty Many-Worlds (Sebens–Carroll)

Will China's Darwin neuromorphic chip create an LLM in 2026?

Nov 29, 9:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.86%chance

265

OptionVotes

YES

165

Greatest Biologist of All Time

Jul 23, 9:48 PMAug 23, 9:39 PM

250

OptionProbability

Charles Darwin

Louis Pasteur

Rosalind Franklin

Gregor Mendel

James Watson

Francis Crick

Carl Linnaeus

Alexander Fleming

Will the Darwin Godel Machine be applied to one of Joseph Suarez's RL environments, like pufferfish by 2028?

May 31, 4:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.78%chance

340

OptionVotes

YES

140

Does it seem like Darwin and Adam Smith were writing for a more intelligent audience than most of today’s bestsellers?

Oct 26, 10:32 AM

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Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Australia
Crime
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Outback Wrangler Host Matt Wright Convicted of Evidence Tampering in 2022 Crash
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5 months ago

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Will Australia-Asia Power Link deliver 900 megawatts of electricity to Darwin by 2030?

Will Aubrey Darwin Niederhoffer become a Thiel Fellow before 2028?

Will Sam Altman win a Darwin Award by EOY 2040?

Australia vs Bangladesh Test Series Megamarket

Will the "Save The Darwin Oak" petition succeed?

Will Guillaume Verdon/BasedBeffJezos win a Darwin award by EOY 2040?

Will José Luis Ricón Fernández de la Puente win a Darwin Award by EOY 2040?

Which many-world-ish interpretation is right?

Will China's Darwin neuromorphic chip create an LLM in 2026?

Greatest Biologist of All Time

Will the Darwin Godel Machine be applied to one of Joseph Suarez's RL environments, like pufferfish by 2028?

Does it seem like Darwin and Adam Smith were writing for a more intelligent audience than most of today’s bestsellers?

Latest stories

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