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Duma News

    Prediction markets for Duma

    OptionProbability

    Direct commercial flights to the EU resume

    Central Bank interest rate (a.k.a. key rate) is less or equal 5% at some moment

    Partial mobilization formally ends

    Russia and Ukraine re-establish full diplomatic relations (embassies reopen)

    New FSB director appointed

    Amnesty for draft evasion announced

    New prime minister appointed

    Early State Duma elections called

    Access to Instagram unblocked nationwide by Roskomnadzor

    Constitutional amendments remove annexed Ukrainian regions from the Russian Federation

    Major (>50k people) anti-government protests in Moscow

    Russia militarily invades another country

    Russia rejoins the Council of Europe

    Vladimir Putin ceases to be the president of Russia

    58

    51

    44

    42

    40

    39

    38

    38

    37

    36

    34

    31

    31

    24

    OptionProbability

    Communist Party (CPRF)

    Other

    New People

    Liberal Democratic Party (LDPR)

    A Just Russia

    Yabloko

    Civic Initiative

    Dawn (Rassvet)

    Libertarian Party

    29

    20

    16

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    173

    36

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