East Africa News

Kenya’s Harambee Stars Exit CHAN Quarter-Finals; Coach McCarthy, State Pledge Support, Up to 15 Players Join Core Team

3 months ago

Economics

Business

World

UAE Bars Sudan Cargoes, Stranding Crude Tanker Offloading Options

3 months ago

After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?

Nov 2, 6:19 PMNov 9, 11:59 PM

22427674

OptionProbability

Hamas

Israel

Technocratic committee, not elected, internationally supervised

International Peacekeeping Force

PLO

Other

Arab only Peacekeeping Force

A new Gaza-elected government

United States

Territorial rule by tribal clans

PLA

African Peacekeeping Force

Egypt

United Arab Emirates

Qatar

Jordan

Saudi Arabia

Palestinian Islamic Jihad

Turkey

Will there be an Arab Spring-style wave of political unrest in the Middle East? [2025]

Jul 26, 1:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.96%chance

275407

OptionVotes

YES

4502

453

Will GiveWell fund Educate! Experience program by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.92%chance

92626

OptionVotes

YES

4193

4124

Where will the next Pokémon region be inspired by?

Apr 24, 6:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

101589

OptionProbability

South-East Asia

Southern Europe (Iberian Peninsula, Italy, Balkans, Greece)

Oceania

South Asia

North America

Middle East & Northern Africa

East Asia

Mexico / Central America / Caribbean

Western Europe (France to Poland)

Sub-Saharan Africa

South America

Eastern Europe / Central Asia (Former USSR)

Northern Europe (Nordics and British Isles)

Will the East African Federation be a member of the UN before 2030?

Oct 20, 1:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5.87%chance

41179

OptionVotes

YES

368

When will the East African Community have a single currency?

Dec 3, 4:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81098

OptionProbability

After 2031 or never

2025-2030

2023-2024

Other

Will East African Crude Oil Pipeline (EACOP) be in operation until December 31st 2025?

Oct 11, 11:41 AMDec 31, 8:59 PM

2.41%chance

3412

OptionVotes

YES

318

Will the East African Federation legally exist by January 1st, 2030?

Jul 1, 4:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

18.64%chance

14391

OptionVotes

YES

980

945

Does "Tong Tong, South Sudan" actually exist?

Jun 4, 11:24 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

57.25%chance

16355

OptionVotes

YES

1053

914

Will the Caracal (Caracal caracal) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 30, 6:17 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17.09%chance

5262

OptionVotes

YES

697

422

Which regions will become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:00 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

8236

OptionProbability

North America

Asia and Australasia

Eastern Europe and Central Asia

Sub-Saharan Africa

Western Europe

Latin America and the Caribbean

Middle East and North Africa

Will a middle spotted woodpecker be seen in Britain by the end of 2030?

Apr 8, 2:19 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

53.52%chance

8103

OptionVotes

YES

154

144

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After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?

Will there be an Arab Spring-style wave of political unrest in the Middle East? [2025]

Will GiveWell fund Educate! Experience program by 1st January 2027?

Where will the next Pokémon region be inspired by?

Will the East African Federation be a member of the UN before 2030?

When will the East African Community have a single currency?

Will East African Crude Oil Pipeline (EACOP) be in operation until December 31st 2025?

Will the East African Federation legally exist by January 1st, 2030?

Does "Tong Tong, South Sudan" actually exist?

Will the Caracal (Caracal caracal) become extinct in the current century?

Which regions will become more authoritarian in 2025?

Will a middle spotted woodpecker be seen in Britain by the end of 2030?

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