East Africa News

Kenya’s Harambee Stars Exit CHAN Quarter-Finals; Coach McCarthy, State Pledge Support, Up to 15 Players Join Core Team

5 months ago

Economics

Business

World

UAE Bars Sudan Cargoes, Stranding Crude Tanker Offloading Options

5 months ago

After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?

Nov 2, 6:19 PMNov 9, 11:59 PM

22728323

OptionProbability

Hamas

Israel

Technocratic committee, not elected, internationally supervised

PLO

International Peacekeeping Force

Other

Arab only Peacekeeping Force

A new Gaza-elected government

United States

Territorial rule by tribal clans

PLA

African Peacekeeping Force

Egypt

United Arab Emirates

Qatar

Jordan

Saudi Arabia

Palestinian Islamic Jihad

Turkey

Will the US Government conduct military operations against 8 or more countries in 2026?

Jan 3, 7:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.24%chance

243861

OptionVotes

YES

1089

919

Will GiveWell fund Educate! Experience program by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.92%chance

92626

OptionVotes

YES

4193

4124

Where will the next Pokémon region be inspired by?

Apr 24, 6:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

101589

OptionProbability

South-East Asia

Southern Europe (Iberian Peninsula, Italy, Balkans, Greece)

Oceania

South Asia

North America

Middle East & Northern Africa

East Asia

Mexico / Central America / Caribbean

Western Europe (France to Poland)

Sub-Saharan Africa

South America

Eastern Europe / Central Asia (Former USSR)

Northern Europe (Nordics and British Isles)

When will the East African Community have a single currency?

Dec 3, 4:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81098

OptionProbability

After 2031 or never

2025-2030

2023-2024

Other

Will the East African Federation legally exist by January 1st, 2030?

Jul 1, 4:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

18.64%chance

14391

OptionVotes

YES

980

945

Does "Tong Tong, South Sudan" actually exist?

Jun 4, 11:24 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

57.25%chance

16355

OptionVotes

YES

1053

914

Will the Caracal (Caracal caracal) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 30, 6:17 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17.09%chance

5262

OptionVotes

YES

697

422

Which regions will become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:00 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

10251

OptionProbability

North America

Asia and Australasia

Eastern Europe and Central Asia

Sub-Saharan Africa

Western Europe

Latin America and the Caribbean

Middle East and North Africa

If Iran regime change happens > Credible media evidence that US + Israel caused it?

Jan 2, 10:17 AMJan 2, 10:17 AM

75.67%chance

6146

OptionVotes

YES

176

Will a middle spotted woodpecker be seen in Britain by the end of 2030?

Apr 8, 2:19 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

53.52%chance

8103

OptionVotes

YES

154

144

Will a pygmy cormorant be seen in Britain by the end of 2030?

Apr 8, 2:19 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

49.17%chance

OptionVotes

YES

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After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?

Will the US Government conduct military operations against 8 or more countries in 2026?

Will GiveWell fund Educate! Experience program by 1st January 2027?

Where will the next Pokémon region be inspired by?

When will the East African Community have a single currency?

Will the East African Federation legally exist by January 1st, 2030?

Does "Tong Tong, South Sudan" actually exist?

Will the Caracal (Caracal caracal) become extinct in the current century?

Which regions will become more authoritarian in 2025?

If Iran regime change happens > Credible media evidence that US + Israel caused it?

Will a middle spotted woodpecker be seen in Britain by the end of 2030?

Will a pygmy cormorant be seen in Britain by the end of 2030?

Latest stories

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