Eastern Europe News
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Prediction markets for Eastern Europe
OptionProbability
98
25
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22.61%chance
235041
OptionVotes
5459
2563
Will a Global South pavilion win the Golden Lion at Venice 2026?
Feb 16, 11:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
12.41%chance
71886
OptionVotes
2656
376
Will the American Bullfrog (Aquarana catesbeianus) become extinct in the current century?
Mar 28, 11:28 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
2.18%chance
41155
OptionVotes
1654
352
OptionVotes
1571
636
OptionVotes
338
91
If the US buys Greenland and makes it a state, will it vote for a Democrat in the subsequent presidential election?
Dec 6, 8:43 PMNov 19, 9:59 PM
78.32%chance
11528
OptionVotes
190
53
Will there be a ceasfire in Ukraine at the end of 2027?
Mar 16, 6:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.62%chance
13417
OptionVotes
144
70
OptionProbability
44
36
17
2
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027
Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
76.29%chance
10325
OptionVotes
154
83
Helsinki-Tallinn undersea railway tunnel holed-through before EOY2033?
Aug 27, 5:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
34.24%chance
4171
OptionVotes
116
91
OptionVotes
118
36
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