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Ukraine Tests 3,000-Km ‘Flamingo’ Missile, Plans Production Surge
Authors
18
3 months ago
Prediction markets for European Russia
[Glimt] Will Russian gas supplies resume through the Nord Stream pipelines in 2025?
Jan 16, 7:03 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
1.4%chance
1410834
OptionVotes
8379
119
Will there be a plane crash with ≥100 victims in Russia in 2025?
Jan 6, 1:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
4.79%chance
486633
OptionVotes
4460
224
Which countries in Europe will switch to compulsory military service (2027)?
Apr 22, 3:02 AMJun 30, 1:59 PM
332813
OptionProbability
88
75
69
43
37
35
26
20
20
10
7
Was a western-aligned party (such as the US or Ukraine) responsible for the Nord Stream attack?
Oct 3, 9:40 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
94.66%chance
162343
OptionVotes
3146
739
OptionProbability
100
100
60
4
Will a European country will re-establish a monarchy in the 21st century?
May 4, 12:36 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM
16.57%chance
15905
OptionVotes
992
950
Will russia attack and/or occupy european NATO area until EOY2029? And if so, where will that happen first?
May 23, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8715
OptionProbability
51
26
7
7
4
2
2
Will Vladimir Putin visit the Vatican City before 2027?
May 20, 3:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6.78%chance
15684
OptionVotes
371
27
Will Trump pressure the EU to stop supporting Ukraine?
Mar 4, 7:33 PMJan 20, 10:59 PM
7.01%chance
16545
OptionVotes
364
27
Will a peacekeeping force of at least 10,000 non-Ukrainian European soldiers be stationed in Ukraine by years' end?
Feb 20, 4:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
11.08%chance
12416
OptionVotes
283
35
OptionVotes
1153
956
Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?
Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
50.47%chance
3107
OptionVotes
1059
1041
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