Federal District News

Bolsonaro Leaves House Arrest for Exams, Diagnosed With Gastritis

1 year ago

Brazil

Politics

World

Brazil Supreme Court Orders 24/7 Surveillance of Bolsonaro on Flight-Risk Fears

1 year ago

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.79%chance

207906

OptionVotes

YES

7404

135

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

34.52%chance

85947

OptionVotes

YES

13772

7261

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?

Jul 10, 1:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.73%chance

215840

OptionVotes

YES

5967

168

Will Texas's 2025 redistricting map be used in the 2026 midterms?

Nov 18, 9:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

97%chance

245359

OptionVotes

YES

5686

176

Will Nintendo sue Ryujinx before the end of 2026?

Feb 28, 7:21 AMFeb 22, 1:29 PM

20.37%chance

284058

OptionVotes

YES

1750

630

(When) will there be a significant change to timekeeping in the US?

Oct 21, 7:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

163247

OptionProbability

Not before 2030

2027

2026

2028

2029

2025

2023

2024

Which parties will become part of the Russian Parliament (State Duma) after the 2026 elections?

Jul 28, 6:46 AMSep 29, 11:59 PM

172068

OptionProbability

United Russia

Communist Party of the Russian Federation

New People

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia

A Just Russia

Rodina

Communists of Russia

Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice

Russian Ecological Party "The Greens"

Party of Direct Democracy

Yabloko

What US charges will Nicolás Maduro be found guilty of?

Jan 4, 5:59 PMJan 5, 5:48 PM

15694

OptionProbability

Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy

Cocaine Importation Conspiracy

Possession of Machineguns and Destructive Devices

Conspiracy to Possess Machineguns and Destructive Devices

Will the Nicholas Funk vs PSA RICO lawsuit get dismissed?

Aug 5, 6:26 AMDec 31, 6:30 AM

78.41%chance

2410

OptionVotes

YES

1363

876

Will an animal in the US be recognized as a person by US courts before 2030?

Sep 11, 9:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.56%chance

12373

OptionVotes

YES

1075

955

Is a Forced Reset Trigger (FRT) a machine gun?

Dec 21, 4:36 AMJan 2, 4:30 AM

41.43%chance

449

OptionVotes

YES

119

Brazil Election 2026: Which Brazilian soccer stars will be elected?

Aug 24, 11:14 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM

431

OptionProbability

Luís Fabiano — former Brazil & Sevilla striker (Federal Deputy, São Paulo)

Edmundo — former Brazil, Vasco & Fiorentina striker (Federal Deputy, Rio de Janeiro)

Marcelinho Carioca — Corinthians legend and former Brazil international (District Deputy, Federal District)

Vanderlei Luxemburgo — former Real Madrid & Brazil national team coach (Senate, Tocantins)

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Prediction markets for Federal District

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Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?

Will Texas's 2025 redistricting map be used in the 2026 midterms?

Will Nintendo sue Ryujinx before the end of 2026?

(When) will there be a significant change to timekeeping in the US?

Which parties will become part of the Russian Parliament (State Duma) after the 2026 elections?

What US charges will Nicolás Maduro be found guilty of?

Will the Nicholas Funk vs PSA RICO lawsuit get dismissed?

Will an animal in the US be recognized as a person by US courts before 2030?

Is a Forced Reset Trigger (FRT) a machine gun?

Brazil Election 2026: Which Brazilian soccer stars will be elected?

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