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Top stories

Bolsonaro Leaves House Arrest for Exams, Diagnosed With Gastritis

Bolsonaro Leaves House Arrest for Exams, Diagnosed With Gastritis

Authors

11

1 year ago

Brazil Supreme Court Orders 24/7 Surveillance of Bolsonaro on Flight-Risk Fears

Brazil Supreme Court Orders 24/7 Surveillance of Bolsonaro on Flight-Risk Fears

Authors

15

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Federal District

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.69%chance

186390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5110

196

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

34.52%chance

85947

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13772

7261

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?

Jul 10, 1:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.97%chance

204790

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4917

203

Will Texas's 2025 redistricting map be used in the 2026 midterms?

Nov 18, 9:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

95.18%chance

214118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4445

225

Will Nintendo sue Ryujinx before the end of 2026?

Feb 28, 7:21 AMFeb 22, 1:29 PM

25.38%chance

263789

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1481

709

Will the ICE agents who shot Alex Pretti be charged in any federal court?

Jan 26, 4:10 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

12.21%chance

18855

OptionVotes

YES

NO

268

37

Will the Nicholas Funk vs PSA RICO lawsuit get dismissed?

Aug 5, 6:26 AMDec 31, 6:30 AM

78.41%chance

2410

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1363

876

Will an animal in the US be recognized as a person by US courts before 2030?

Sep 11, 9:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.56%chance

12373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1075

955

Will Nicolás Maduro be convicted in a U.S. federal court before January 1, 2027?

Jan 15, 12:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.45%chance

12213

OptionVotes

YES

NO

171

58

Will Alex Bores run for Congress in 2028?

Jun 24, 2:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37%chance

574

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

177

Will UCAR/NCAR win its lawsuit against the Trump administration/US government?

Mar 17, 5:05 AMDec 31, 6:04 AM

69.23%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

150

67

Annual wealth tax in any US state or federally before 2031?

Mar 31, 12:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.7%chance

342

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

73

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