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Top stories

Germany, France, Spain Set October Talks to Salvage €100 Billion FCAS Jet

Germany, France, Spain Set October Talks to Salvage €100 Billion FCAS Jet

Authors

13

5 months ago

Germany Urges Citizens to Leave Iran After Snapback Sanctions Move

Germany Urges Citizens to Leave Iran After Snapback Sanctions Move

Authors

5

5 months ago

US Ends $800 Duty Exemption, Global Postal Services Suspend Deliveries

US Domestic Policy

US Ends $800 Duty Exemption, Global Postal Services Suspend Deliveries

Authors

86

5 months ago

UK Bars Israeli Officials From London Defence Expo Over Gaza Offensive

Authors

20

5 months ago

Tottenham Agree €60 Million Deal for RB Leipzig’s Xavi Simons

Authors

11

5 months ago

French Unions Call 18 September Strikes Over Bayrou’s 2026 Budget

Authors

15

5 months ago

Bayrou Blames Boomers for France’s Debt, Backlash Mounts Before Confidence Vote

Authors

7

5 months ago

Germany and France Seek Secondary Sanctions on Russia’s Backers

Authors

5

5 months ago

Prediction markets for France

Who will be the next president of France?

Feb 6, 11:00 PMMay 31, 9:59 PM

13933499

OptionProbability

Jordan Bardella

Édouard Philippe

Gabriel Attal

Other

Marine Le Pen

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Raphaël Glucksmann

Gérald Darmanin

Olivier Faure

Dominique de Villepin

Francois Ruffin

Marine Tondelier

Gérard Larcher

Christine Lagarde

Michel Barnier

Emmanuel Macron

Xavier Bertrand

Laurent Wauquiez

David Lisnard

Bruno Le Maire

Carole Delga

Bernard Cazeneuve

Marion Maréchal

Eric Zemmour

Ségolène Royal

Nicolas Sarkozy

François Hollande

Alain Coulombel

Cécile Duflot

Eva Joly

Christiane Taubira

François-Xavier Bellamy

Manon Aubry

Marie Toussaint

Nathalie Arthaud

Philippe Poutou

34

18

10

9

7

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Who will be the next president of France after Macron?

Feb 7, 10:27 AMFeb 7, 7:59 PM

9622226

OptionProbability

Jordan Bardella

Édouard Philippe

Gabriel Attal

Other

Sébastien Lecornu

Marine Le Pen

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Olivier Faure

Bernard Cazeneuve

Dominique de Villepin

Éric Zemmour

Sarah Knafo

François Ruffin

Bruno Retailleau

Raphaël Glucksmann

Emmanuel Macron

François Fillon

Laurent Wauquiez

Bruno Le Maire

François Bayrou

Gérald Darmanin

Nathalie Arthaud

Someone not on this list

Élisabeth Borne

Gérard Larcher

Christine Lagarde

Rachida Dati

Marine Tondelier

31

12

11

10

8

5

5

3

3

3

3

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

How many of the listed riders will start the 2026 Tour de France Femmes?

Aug 4, 8:20 PMAug 1, 11:59 PM

512757

OptionProbability

At least 3

At least 4

At least 5

At least 6

At least 7

At least 8

All 9

95

87

81

68

53

32

15

Will the next president of France be from a left-wing party

Jun 20, 8:10 PMJan 5, 10:59 PM

18.76%chance

695734

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1498

839

Will Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France a record-breaking 6 times?

Feb 22, 4:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

63.25%chance

132906

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1312

762

Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2026 Tour de France?

Jul 28, 1:55 PMJul 24, 11:59 PM

68.84%chance

131967

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1491

675

Will France become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:08 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

57.2%chance

141568

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1156

865

Will an EPR2 nuclear reactor be running in France by 2036?

Aug 1, 9:49 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

17.77%chance

121341

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1507

834

Will the energy biding zones for either Germany or France be split by 2030?

Feb 15, 7:29 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

50%chance

1750

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will any rider in the 2027 Tour de France use an airbag safety system during the race?

Jan 20, 11:48 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

43.8%chance

12570

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1133

883

Will France have a bigger population than Germany in 2050?

Jun 22, 12:21 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

56.91%chance

13505

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1068

943

Will access to social assistance be automated in France before 2027 ?

Jun 20, 9:58 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

35.19%chance

11258

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1097

953

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