OptionProbability
Length is over 500 pages
A dragon dies
Jon Snow is revealed to be the child of Rhaegar Targaryen and Lyanna Stark
A character is burned alive
No new point of view characters outside of prologue/epilogue
The wait for the book is longer than for the previous 4 books combined (i.e. it is not released before 26th June 2026)
There is an epilogue
Word count is greater than any previous book in the series
Daenerys arrives in Westeros (Dragonstone counts)
A POV character (excluding Prologue/Epilogue) has exactly 1 chapter
Benjen Stark will be found alive
The Harpy is revealed to be Galazza Galare (the Green Grace)
All living Stark children (of Ned) will survive
Littlefinger will be killed by Lady Stoneheart/The Brotherhood Without Banners
Daenerys will destroy the house with the red door
Jon Snow ceases to be a POV character after his resurrection
A PoV character sees a literal kraken (excluding dreams, visions etc.)
Varys will gaslight Daenerys about her birth/lineage and accuse her of not being a Targaryen
Quentyn Martell is revealed to still be alive and has a POV chapter
It's published after the author's death
Daario will reveal himself to be the same person as Euron Greyjoy
Release date will be announced during 2024
99
91
84
78
71
70
69
55
53
50
44
37
35
34
32
25
24
19
2
0
South America
Europe
Elsewhere (eg Antarctica, Oceania)
North America
Japan
Asia (outside Japan)
Africa
Not based on a real place
29
18
16
11
9
7
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