Gove News

Tornado Warnings Through August 8 Across Multiple Counties in KS, CO, ND, SD, MN Amid Damaging Winds Over 80 MPH

5 days ago

Will Trump & Elon cut >250,000 government employees in 2025?

Nov 13, 2:32 AMDec 31, 7:59 AM

39.81%chance

12401513436

OptionVotes

YES

11079

7728

Balance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?

Sep 19, 12:51 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

149199246

OptionProbability

R President, R Senate, D House

R Pres, D Senate, D House

R President, R Senate, R House - Republican Trifecta

R President, D Senate, R House

D President, D Senate, D House - Democrat Trifecta

D President, R Senate, R House

D President, D Senate, R House

D President, R Senate, D House

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

Dec 16, 2:35 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

53.08%chance

91101678

OptionVotes

YES

1064

940

Will Kamala Harris run for governor of California?

Nov 15, 1:41 AMNov 6, 4:59 AM

3.86%chance

5074762

OptionVotes

YES

45384

4988

Will there be a US government shutdown in 2025?

Jul 19, 6:22 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.81%chance

10733650

OptionVotes

YES

4168

745

Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?

Jan 22, 4:43 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

11.37%chance

4021048

OptionVotes

YES

10109

8701

Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?

Nov 23, 11:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

23.41%chance

8720078

OptionVotes

YES

12408

8996

Who will become the next governor of California after Gavin Newsom?

Jul 4, 12:46 AMJul 11, 8:59 PM

398555

OptionProbability

Katie Porter

Other

Betty Yee

Eleni Kounalakis

Toni Atkins

Rick Caruso

Antonio Villaraigosa

Rob Bonta

Kamala Harris

Tony Thurmond

Xavier Becerra

Jesse Perez

Michael L. Younger

Salary withheld for 5000 full time US federal government employees on or before December 31, 2025

Feb 2, 8:57 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36.33%chance

146906

OptionVotes

YES

14718

5388

Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?

Apr 20, 6:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.62%chance

9702

OptionVotes

YES

10538

9489

Will "Please Donate to CAIP (Post 1 of 6 on AI Gove..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 25, 9:28 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

12.16%chance

1150

OptionVotes

YES

1150

978

AI Governance Stock (Permanent)

Feb 9, 8:31 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

431

OptionProbability

YES

141

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Aug 6, 2025
Aug 6, 2025
Natural Disasters
Colorado
Environment
Tornado Warnings Through August 8 Across Multiple Counties in KS, CO, ND, SD, MN Amid Damaging Winds Over 80 MPH
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5 days ago

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Will Trump & Elon cut >250,000 government employees in 2025?

Balance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

Will Kamala Harris run for governor of California?

Will there be a US government shutdown in 2025?

Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?

Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?

Who will become the next governor of California after Gavin Newsom?

Salary withheld for 5000 full time US federal government employees on or before December 31, 2025

Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?

Will "Please Donate to CAIP (Post 1 of 6 on AI Gove..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

AI Governance Stock (Permanent)

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

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